Yearly Archives: 2023

U.S. Budget Deficit: Strange Days Indeed

The U.S. budget data are just out, and there’s something happening here. What it is ain’t exactly clear.  For what it’s worth, we provide you with our insights. The rolling twelve-month cumulative budget deficit – June to June – has … Continue reading

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What It Takes To Convert Commercial to Residential

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Divining The CPI Report From The PMIs

After a read of the recently released manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports for June, goods prices are softening significantly. However, the service sector is still experiencing price pressures, albeit at a deaccelerating rate. Services comprise over 60 … Continue reading

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How Banks Create Money | Economist

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QOTD: I Can Buy Myself Flowers

QOTD = Quote of the Day During SecTreas Janet Yellen’s visit to China, the government announced starting next month, China will impose restrictions on the global availability of gallium and germanium, obliging purchasers of these rare metals to obtain permits. … Continue reading

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Global Sector PMI: Manufacturing Flops, Services Pop

Based on the recent release of the June Global Sector PMI from S&P Global, the state of manufacturing in various global sectors during June 2023 shows a divergence in performance between manufacturing and services. Manufacturing-based sectors experienced a drop in … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – July 7

Yields spiking. 

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COTD: Perceptions They Are A-Changin’

Interesting chart from the WashPost, comparing current polling with old polling.   The data,  …revisited 1948 polling from Fortune magazine in which people were asked whether they would use certain words to describe most of their fellow Americans. The results were striking, showing … Continue reading

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When Will True AGI Arrive? (Sooner Than You Think)

AI is typically focused on solving specific problems, while Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)  is designed to be able to solve any problem that a human can. Level of intelligence: AI systems are typically much less intelligent than humans, while AGI … Continue reading

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Happy Birthday, America!

Not a perfect union but a good one, and as Voltaire warned, “Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.”   We sense America is about to experience one of its biggest tests with the upcoming 2024 general election.  … Continue reading

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