Category Archives: China

COTD: China’s Social Credit Score System

COTD:  Chart of the Day Background: The Social Credit System (Chinese: 社会信用体系; pinyin: shèhuì xìnyòng tǐxì) is a national reputation system being developed by the Chinese government. The program initiated regional trials in 2009, before launching a national pilot with eight credit scoring firms in 2014. In 2018, these … Continue reading

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It’s Always About The Treasury Flows

We have looked at the central bank holdings — both the Fed and foreign central banks — of marketable Treasury bills, notes, and bonds over the past twenty years and were quite surprised by our findings.   Our analysis may also … Continue reading

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Welcome To The Forever Trade War

Are you surprised?  We’re not (see our repost below). Mood in Beijing about #trade deal is pessimistic, government source tells me. #China troubled after Trump said no tariff rollback. (China thought both had agreed in principle.) Strategy now to talk … Continue reading

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China Still Looking For A Rollback

We posted our,  Roll back: The Verb China Is Looking For,  two months ago and China is still looking for a rollback on some of the tariffs that have already been implemented. What President Trump said is not what the markets expect. But … Continue reading

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China Is Now The World’s Largest Official Creditor

Hard to believe the transformation of China over the past forty years. Just before Deng Xiaoping led a large Chinese delegation in 1974 to a special session of the United Nations,  the story goes, the government made a frantic search through … Continue reading

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What Are They Thinking?

Stocks are reeling from the following headline. The White House is weighing some curbs on U.S. investments in China, a source familiar with the matter told CNBC. This discussion includes possibly blocking all U.S. financial investments in Chinese companies, the … Continue reading

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President Trump grants exemptions on 400 tariffs

Probably not the roll back China was looking for?

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“Deals Galore” Coming This Fall

D Looks like the “Fab Four” – China, North Korea, Iran, and the Taliban — are queuing up just as we wrote about earlier this week, Deals Galore?  We also wonder if the Administration is on the verge of a … Continue reading

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Roll back: The Verb China Is Looking For

Roll back is the verb China is looking for. Mr. Market is all lathered up this morning on the following report, Source: @FerroTV Not so fast. A senior White House official said the U.S. is “absolutely not” considering an interim … Continue reading

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Rent Control Issues Hit 7-year Bond Auction

At least, that is our view. We have worried out loud how global interest rate repression may cause ugly bond auctions. A problem that similarly arises in the rent-controlled housing market. …we are watching the Treasury auctions closely and suspect … Continue reading

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