Category Archives: China

Foreign CenBanks Continue To Sell Treasury Securities

Posted on October 18, 2022 by macromon

As we suspected in our last post on this subject,  We also have no doubt Japan’s holdings are down from the latest observation in July. – GMM,  Sep 29th Japan, the country (data is aggregated), sold $34.5 billion of its … Continue reading →

Posted in Capital Flows, China, Sovereign Debt | Leave a comment

The Taiwan Strait Getting Hot, Hot, Hot, Hotter…3.0

Posted on October 7, 2021 by macromon

#CKStrong We are reposting a repost of a piece we did last September.  Our sense is Mr. Xi is testing and doing the calculus if the U.S.is willing to fight WWIII over Taiwan.  Taiwan and U.S. officials have expressed alarm … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Geopolitical, Geopolitics, Global Stock Performance, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Rising Yuan Shows China’s Economy Strengthening

Posted on November 11, 2020 by macromon

Here are two reasons why the yuan is showing new strength. Insights via @CME Group: https://www.cmegroup.com/openmarkets/…

Posted in China | Tagged | Leave a comment

What happened at the Chinese Communist Party’s major policy meeting, the fifth plenum?

Posted on November 1, 2020 by macromon

The fifth plenum, China’s major policy meeting, took place behind closed doors in Beijing from October 26-29, 2020. The 200-member strong Central Committee, the top decision-making body of the ruling party, delivered a work report, a draft five-year plan and … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Geopolitics | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The Taiwan Strait Getting Hot, Hot, Hot…2.0

Posted on September 21, 2020 by macromon

China has released video of a simulated air strike on the U.S. territory of Guam after Under Secretary of State @KeithJKrach visited Taiwan. More @business: https://t.co/je6XM6CaBE pic.twitter.com/YntkbIIQRJ — Bloomberg QuickTake (@QuickTake) September 21, 2020 We originally posted the following in … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Geopolitical, Geopolitics, Global Stock Performance, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

China’s Industrial Output Plunges, GDP Headed For First Contraction On Record

Posted on March 15, 2020 by macromon

China’s industrial output fell more than expected as the coronavirus shutdown factories, across the nation.  Industrial output fell13.5% in January and February from a year earlier, versus a median estimate for a 3% contraction. Retail sales fell 20.5% in the … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Coronavirus, Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

COTD: Coronavirus Risk To Manufacturing

Posted on February 15, 2020 by macromon

The holiday is over, but few people are back in offices and factories…the effects of covid-19 will be like those of SARS in 2003: a sharp shock to Chinese growth, followed by a strong rebound. But SARS may not be a … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Economics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Coronavirus: It’s The Second Derivative, Stupid!

Posted on February 4, 2020 by macromon

Double yikes.   Arrest this beast!  Please! On a business trip meeting with many firms with huge exposure to China.  Concern in their community definitely growing but still a bit clueless about the seriousness of the growing crisis.  I give … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 1 Comment

The Global Supply & Demand Shock Of The Coronavirus

Posted on January 31, 2020 by macromon

Our analysis of the impact of the Coronavirus is a work in progress and nobody knows the endgame.  It is still the early days of the epidemic, and its dynamics will take time to understand. The scale of the impact … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 29 Comments

Coronavirus Spreading To Heart of China Manufacturing

Posted on January 25, 2020 by macromon

BREAKING: Shantou, a city in Guangdong province with nearly 5.5 million people, will be put on total lockdown from midnight — BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) January 26, 2020 Coronavirus scare starting to hit big manufacturing cities and is definitely going to … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment