-
In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
Contribute To GMM
Categories
- 3D Printing
- Agriculture
- AI
- Algos
- Apple
- Automation
- Banking
- BFTP
- Bitcoin
- Black Swan Watch
- Bonds
- Brazil
- Brexit
- BRICs
- Budget Deficit
- Capital Flows
- Cartoon of the Day
- Cashless Society
- Chart of the Day
- Charts
- China
- Clean Tech
- Climate Change
- Coach C
- Commodities
- Coronavirus
- Credit
- Crude Oil
- Currency
- Cyprus
- Daily Risk Monitor
- Day In History
- Debt
- Demographics
- Dollar
- Earnings
- ECB
- Economics
- Economist
- Egypt
- Electric Vehicles
- Emerging Markets
- Employment
- Energy
- Environment
- Equities
- Equity
- Euro
- Eurozone Sovereign Spreads
- Exchange Rates
- Fed
- Finance and the Good Society
- FinTech
- Fiscal Cliff Monitor
- Fiscal Policy
- Food Prices
- France
- Futurist
- Game Theory
- General Interest
- Geopolitical
- German Bund
- Germany
- Global Risk Monitor
- Global Stock Performance
- Global Trend Indicators
- Gold
- Greece
- Healthcare
- Heat Map
- Hedge Funds
- Housing
- Human Interest
- Immigration
- Impeachment
- India
- Inequality
- Inflation/Deflation
- Infographics
- Innovation
- Institutional Investors
- Interest Rate Monitor
- Interest Rates
- Interviews
- Italian Yields
- Italy
- Japan
- Jobs
- Lectures
- Macro Notes from Conference Calls
- Manufacturing
- Masters
- Mexico
- Monetary Policy
- Movies
- Muni Bonds
- Muni Market
- Natural Gas
- News
- Nonlinear Thinking
- North Korea
- Overbought Markets
- Picture of the Day
- PIIGS
- PMIs
- Policy
- Politics
- Population
- Populism
- Portolio
- Poverty
- President Trump
- Qunat Strategies
- Quote of the Day
- Quotes
- Rare Earth Elements
- Readership
- Reads
- Real Estate
- Relative Strength Index
- Robert Shiller
- RSIs
- S&P500
- Sector ETF Peformance
- Social Media
- Socialism
- Song for the Week
- Sovereign Debt
- Sovereign Risk
- Spain
- Sports
- State and Local Government
- Tail Risk
- Technical Analysis
- Technology
- The Weekend Read
- This Day In Financial History
- Trade War
- Trades
- Tweet of the Day
- Ugly Chart Contest
- Uncategorized
- US Releases
- Video
- Volatility
- Wages
- Week Ahead
- Week in Review
- Weekend Reads
- Weekly Eurozone Watch
- Whales
-
Recent Posts
Meta
Category Archives: China
China’s Industrial Output Plunges, GDP Headed For First Contraction On Record
China’s industrial output fell more than expected as the coronavirus shutdown factories, across the nation. Industrial output fell13.5% in January and February from a year earlier, versus a median estimate for a 3% contraction. Retail sales fell 20.5% in the … Continue reading
COTD: Coronavirus Risk To Manufacturing
The holiday is over, but few people are back in offices and factories…the effects of covid-19 will be like those of SARS in 2003: a sharp shock to Chinese growth, followed by a strong rebound. But SARS may not be a … Continue reading
Coronavirus: It’s The Second Derivative, Stupid!
Double yikes. Arrest this beast! Please! On a business trip meeting with many firms with huge exposure to China. Concern in their community definitely growing but still a bit clueless about the seriousness of the growing crisis. I give … Continue reading
The Global Supply & Demand Shock Of The Coronavirus
Our analysis of the impact of the Coronavirus is a work in progress and nobody knows the endgame. It is still the early days of the epidemic, and its dynamics will take time to understand. The scale of the impact … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Uncategorized
Tagged China, Coronavirus, Supply shock
27 Comments
Coronavirus Spreading To Heart of China Manufacturing
BREAKING: Shantou, a city in Guangdong province with nearly 5.5 million people, will be put on total lockdown from midnight — BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) January 26, 2020 Coronavirus scare starting to hit big manufacturing cities and is definitely going to … Continue reading
COTD: China’s Social Credit Score System
COTD: Chart of the Day Background: The Social Credit System (Chinese: 社会信用体系; pinyin: shèhuì xìnyòng tǐxì) is a national reputation system being developed by the Chinese government. The program initiated regional trials in 2009, before launching a national pilot with eight credit scoring firms in 2014. In 2018, these … Continue reading
It’s Always About The Treasury Flows
We have looked at the central bank holdings — both the Fed and foreign central banks — of marketable Treasury bills, notes, and bonds over the past twenty years and were quite surprised by our findings. Our analysis may also … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, China, Interest Rates, Japan, Uncategorized
Tagged Debt, Deficit, Market Debt, TIC, Treasury Flows
1 Comment
Welcome To The Forever Trade War
Are you surprised? We’re not (see our repost below). Mood in Beijing about #trade deal is pessimistic, government source tells me. #China troubled after Trump said no tariff rollback. (China thought both had agreed in principle.) Strategy now to talk … Continue reading
China Still Looking For A Rollback
We posted our, Roll back: The Verb China Is Looking For, two months ago and China is still looking for a rollback on some of the tariffs that have already been implemented. What President Trump said is not what the markets expect. But … Continue reading
China Is Now The World’s Largest Official Creditor
Hard to believe the transformation of China over the past forty years. Just before Deng Xiaoping led a large Chinese delegation in 1974 to a special session of the United Nations, the story goes, the government made a frantic search through … Continue reading
Posted in China, Uncategorized
Tagged China, Growth, World's largest of Official Creditors, World's List of Billionaires
4 Comments
