Monthly Archives: May 2022

The San Quentin Giants, Inflation & Donnie J.

If you’re wondering why we’ve been pounding the table, warning of the evils of inflation over the past 24 months, I received a text from an old college baseball buddy this weekend, which encapsulates the fiery coals and burning sulfur … Continue reading

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CK Chart Funday

1. Crack Spreads At Record High The traditional relationship between crude and refined products is broken. WTI is anchored around $100-$110 a barrel, suggesting that — in barrel terms — gasoline, diesel and jet-fuel prices shouldn’t be much higher, once … Continue reading

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Are Wage Pressures Structural?

We vote both cyclical and structural. When it rains, it pours.  The COVID and Ukraine shock has ripped the veil from the “Wizard of Oz” economy.   Follow the crypto brick road.  Deglobalization Cometh Americans are beginning to experience what a … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation/Deflation | 5 Comments

QOTD: Adaptive Expectations

QOTD = Quote of the Day There’s a tendency for markets to focus on the present and extrapolate it forever – Olivier Blanchard

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Beating Shipping Containers Into Penthouses

They shall beat their swords into plowshares, spears into pruning hooks, [and shipping containers into homes] – Book of Isaiah (paraphrased). According to shipping analytics firm Windward, 20% of the world’s roughly 9,000 active container ships are currently sitting in traffic … Continue reading

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The Smoking Crack Spread

Right now, the traditional relationship between crude and refined products is broken. WTI is anchored around $100-$110 a barrel, suggesting that — in barrel terms — gasoline, diesel and jet-fuel prices shouldn’t be much higher, once you add the average refining margin.  In reality, they are a lot more … Continue reading

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County Median Home Prices

The map [below] allows you to see the median home price for each county. Applying the House Price Index growth from FHFA to the latest housing data from the American Community Survey (ACS), we calculated a median home value for … Continue reading

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Nonlinear Thinking: How Robotic Surgery Works

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Go With The Deep Flow

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The Washington Sausage Factory

Click here for better resolution of the above graphic.

Posted in Policy, Politics, Uncategorized | Leave a comment