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Author Archives: macromon
The Medicaid Surge: Economic Drivers, the Unwinding, and the OBBBA Retrenchment
Ten Key Takeaways: Our analysis in our recent post, “America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover,” highlights that while recent deficit figures may appear to show a very slight improvement, they mask a deeper, persistent fiscal fragility driven by … Continue reading
Presidential Budget Deficits
We are reposting the Appendix added and updated to yesterday’s post, America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover. We thought it important as President Trump has formally requested a historic $1.5 trillion national defense budget for Fiscal Year 2027. This … Continue reading
America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover
The headlines look almost encouraging. The U.S. federal deficit for the first seven months of fiscal year 2026 came in at $955 billion — $94 billion better than the same period a year earlier. Revenues rose 7%, outlays only 3%. … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – May 8
No commentary this week but Wow! Look at Korean stocks.
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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – April 24
The Oil-Transport Paradox and the “Avis Distortion” In 2026, the age-old investment rule that “rising oil kills transport stocks” has seemingly been thrown out the window. While WTI crude has skyrocketed 70% year-to-date, a massive cost headwind for airlines and … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – April 17
Markets are currently behaving with the volatile, erratic energy of a teenager on a sugar high, oscillating between “the war is over” euphoria and the sobering realization that geopolitical stability is currently being drafted on a napkin in a war … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 