Author Archives: macromon

Oil Shock Therapy – When WTI Breaks the World Order

The oil market just delivered one of those “stop what you’re doing” moments: U.S. benchmark WTI trading at a premium to Brent. That’s not just unusual, it’s a signal flare for acute market dislocation. What Happened (and Why It Matters) … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – March 27

Global markets are no longer simply trending lower, they are fracturing under policy uncertainty and headline-driven volatility.  The U.S. market has suffered its fifth consecutive weekly decline in major U.S. indices, with the S&P 500 down ~7% YTD and the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Global Energy Shock 2.0 — Asia Hit Hard

The global economy just got reacquainted with a familiar antagonist: a Middle East energy shock, this time with a sharper edge. The effective shutdown of Persian Gulf energy flows — roughly 20% of global supply — has sent oil ripping … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

S&P500 Key Levels

The S&P 500 closed at the lower end of its multi-month trading range, a band that has effectively contained price action since September. That alone raises the obvious question: is this a breakdown, or just another shakeout within a range-bound … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Holy Shiite……..Seat Belts!

Must view, folks. Mr. Market is not going to like this. Be sure to view, especially the last.

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 20

The dominant market story this past week was not simply that risk assets sold off, it was that geopolitics forcibly rewired the macro regime. The escalation surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz has shifted markets from a “disinflation + … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Iran’s Drones: Small, Cheap, Lethal

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 13

Global markets ended the week in classic late-cycle fashion: equities tried to look composed, while everything underneath them looked increasingly less so. The dominant macro transmission channel was energy. The Iran conflict and the closing of the Strait of Hormuz … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The Oil Shock vs. Irrational Resilience

As we approach the Ides of March, the S&P 500 is performing a high-wire act that should give even the most seasoned bull a case of vertigo. Currently sitting at 6,672, the index is a mere 4.7% below its recent … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 6

The global market narrative has been utterly hijacked by the seventh day of the U.S./Iran conflict. While Washington demands “unconditional surrender,” the energy markets are issuing a surrender of their own, to pure, unadulterated upward momentum. Crude oil prices surged … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment