Author Archives: macromon

In Honor Of Veteran’s Day: The Butterfly Effect

Originally Posted: November 11, 2018 To honor Veterans’s Day,  we are reposting our June 2017 butterfly piece, which illustrates how sleepwalking can lead the world into a war that nobody wants. History’s Biggest “Butterfly Effect” Occurred On This Day Posted on June … Continue reading →

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – November 6

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The Blue Tsunami: Our Bold 2026 Midterm Prediction

*** Assumes independents caucus with the Democrats.

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Market Generals in Retreat: Blood Beneath the Surface

Below is a table of the casualty list of the market’s generals, the stocks that have lead the bull market to recond highs and are now nursing wounds of their own. Some have suffered more than a routine flesh wound. … Continue reading →

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QOTD: Surfin’ USA

QOTD: Quote of the Day Everyone knows a wave is coming, the only question is size. Will it wash away buildings on shore or leave them standing? Will it be towering or tallish? – Peggy Noonan, WSJ

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The 2026 Midterms: A Blue Tsunami Cometh

Midterm elections are often described as a referendum on the sitting president. History suggests that description is well deserved. From Reconstruction in 1866 to the Republican Revolution of 1994, midterm elections have repeatedly reshaped the balance of power in Washington … Continue reading →

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The Real Risk of the AI Arms Race | The Economist

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QOTD: Fake Rich People

QOTD – Quote of the Day A recent report byEmpower, a major financial services company based in Colorado, found that 24 percent of Gen Zers experience intense pressure to display material wealth on social media, even as 41 percent of … Continue reading →

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The $10 Trillion Bet: AI Capex Is Now the Macro Story

A new Wall Street Journal piece by Konrad Putzier and Justin Lahart (“The AI Build-Out Is Becoming the Biggest Economic Bet in U.S. History,” Sept. 23) puts hard numbers on what our website has been flagging for a while: the … Continue reading →

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Sun Tzu Knew His Enemy. Trump Doesn’t

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