Author Archives: macromon

Sun Tzu Knew His Enemy. Trump Doesn’t

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My 9/11 Story, 25 Years On

It was early August 2001 when I asked my wife if we should fly into Washington, D.C. a few days early before my best friend’s wedding. He was planning to marry his sweetheart on September 16, 2001, at St. John’s … Continue reading

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Global Bonds Are Sending a Memo — Are Stocks Listening?

Global sovereign bond yields just hit their highest level in nearly two decades. A Bloomberg gauge of global bonds climbed to 3.72% on Monday, the highest since mid-2008, marking a fourth straight session of increases. Ten-year Japanese government notes touched … Continue reading

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Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole Speech

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For Pete’s Sake! $40 trillion?

This should sound familiar to the long-term Global Macro Monitor readers. It is beginning. Why do we have this gut feeling Japan and France will be the [next ] countries of focus… GMM, circa 2012

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Battle Stations in the Bond Market

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RIP Tommy John, My Friend from the Bullpen

Tommy John died Saturday at his home in Bradenton, Florida. He was 83. The record books will note that he won 288 games across 26 seasons, that he made four All Star teams, that he is one of only two … Continue reading

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The $2.5 T IOU – Big Tech’s Off-Balance-Sheet AI Bet

One of the most durable comforts in the AI trade has been the belief that hyperscaler capex is discretionary. If demand for chatbots and coding tools disappoints, the thinking goes, Big Tech simply turns off the taps. Bloomberg Opinion’s Chris … Continue reading

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The $2.5 T IOU – Big Tech’s Off-Balance-Sheet AI Bet

One of the most durable comforts in the AI trade has been the belief that hyperscaler capex is discretionary. If demand for chatbots and coding tools disappoints, the thinking goes, Big Tech simply turns off the taps. Bloomberg Opinion’s Chris … Continue reading

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Mooch is a Must View

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