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Tag Archives: Economy
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – July 10
Ceasefire Off, Risk Still On: Positioning Into a Loaded Week The market’s message last week was unambiguous: geopolitical tail risk gets sold, not bought. Trump declared the US-Iran ceasefire over, both sides exchanged attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, the … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – June 19
Markets Navigate a Hawkish Fed Surprise as Asia Surges on AI Wave Week Ending June 19, 2026 Markets delivered a split verdict this week — a resurgent Asia riding the AI/semiconductor wave higher, while Wall Street grappled with a Fed … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – June 5
Markets in Motion: A Week of Reckoning Global markets delivered a sobering reminder last week that sentiment can shift fast — and that the era of easy money remains firmly in the rearview mirror. The sharpest single blow landed on … Continue reading
Presidential Budget Deficits
We are reposting the Appendix added and updated to yesterday’s post, America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover. We thought it important as President Trump has formally requested a historic $1.5 trillion national defense budget for Fiscal Year 2027. This … Continue reading
America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover
The headlines look almost encouraging. The U.S. federal deficit for the first seven months of fiscal year 2026 came in at $955 billion — $94 billion better than the same period a year earlier. Revenues rose 7%, outlays only 3%. … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – April 24
The Oil-Transport Paradox and the “Avis Distortion” In 2026, the age-old investment rule that “rising oil kills transport stocks” has seemingly been thrown out the window. While WTI crude has skyrocketed 70% year-to-date, a massive cost headwind for airlines and … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – April 17
Markets are currently behaving with the volatile, erratic energy of a teenager on a sugar high, oscillating between “the war is over” euphoria and the sobering realization that geopolitical stability is currently being drafted on a napkin in a war … Continue reading
The $50 Disconnect: Why Physical Oil is Screaming While Futures Whisper
The global oil market is currently flashing a “code red” for portfolio managers and energy traders. While headline futures remain relatively anchored, the physical market is screaming of a systemic shortage. As reported by the Financial Times, a desperate scramble … Continue reading
Oil Shock Therapy – When WTI Breaks the World Order
The oil market just delivered one of those “stop what you’re doing” moments: U.S. benchmark WTI trading at a premium to Brent. That’s not just unusual, it’s a signal flare for acute market dislocation. What Happened (and Why It Matters) … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – March 27
Global markets are no longer simply trending lower, they are fracturing under policy uncertainty and headline-driven volatility. The U.S. market has suffered its fifth consecutive weekly decline in major U.S. indices, with the S&P 500 down ~7% YTD and the … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 