Tag Archives: Coronavirus

America’s Bearish Day At The Beach

Summary  We are growing increasingly bearish on America’s prospect to arrest the spread of COVID-19 due to growing restlessness over the shelter-in-place rules leading to quarantine fatigue, weak political leadership, and lack of uniform measures to mitigate the spread across, … Continue reading

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The Macroeconomy and COVID-19

Here’s some homework and learning material for the weekend from the Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation. I haven’t watched the video in full but George Magnus, who I worked with at UBS, is always a must listen and … Continue reading

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More Adventures In Bad Government That Could Kill Americans

The cut in funding to the W.H.O. doesn’t surprise us. Does the gaslighting, blame game, attacks on globalism, and the political pettiness ever stop? Chief Of Staff It might help, by the way, if the new Chief of Staff, Mark … Continue reading

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Classic Bear Market Bounce

Big move today in stocks with the S&P500 closing up 7.03 percent.  We are so glad we are out of the market. We believe stocks are now in phase two of a vicious bear market, where after the initial sharp … Continue reading

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A Long Way Down To Value

Summary The stock market has completed the first phase of a bear market with a rapid and sharp Q1 sell-off caused by massive deleveraging Stocks still need to deal with its valuation problem as well as discounting the long-term financial … Continue reading

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Why new diseases keep appearing in China – VOX

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The COVID Wake-Up Call | Project Syndicate

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Some Perspective

In our March 7th post,  Stages Of A Pandemic: Denial, Panic, Fear, and Rationality, we suspected the country was about to move from denial to panic over the coronavirus pandemic.   It sure did and infected the global markets in a … Continue reading

Posted in Algos, Coronavirus, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Exponential Growth 101

I had a stunning conversation last night with a very good friend that went something like this: It’s just the flu, bro.  You are glued to the fake news on CNN  He is a restaurateur and I was trying to … Continue reading

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Stages Of A Pandemic: Denial, Panic, Fear, and Rationality

We’ve been accused of panicking. It just ain’t so, Joe, as our M.O. is to try and panic before everyone else. What will be the big negative shock that shakes the tree loose?   Your guess is as good as ours … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Equity, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 4 Comments