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In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
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Category Archives: Equities
Sufficiently Inefficient Efficient Markets
#CKStrong The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that prices reflect all available information. This leaves a lot of room for interpretation. Should asset prices be set by rational investors whose only concerns are systematic risk1 and expected returns? It seems … Continue reading
Posted in Equities
Tagged Algorithmic Trading Strategies, Anne Hathaway, Berkshire Hathaway, Robo Trading
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Black Monday, 1987: Inside The U.S. Treasury
#CKStrong Originally Posted October 19, 2020 By Liam McPherson The following exchange took place between President Reagan and reporters after the market close on Black Monday, October 19, 1987. Leaving to visit the First Lady in the hospital, President Reagan … Continue reading
Fed Heads Talking 4 Percent Inflation
Fed's Kashkari says he would not panic if he saw a 4% inflation rate-BBG — LongConvexity (@LONGCONVEXITY) April 8, 2021 The bond market might, however, assuming Kashkari’s quote is true. We are reposting a piece, which we recieved tremendous pushback … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, Equities, Inflation/Deflation
Tagged CPI, Inflation, Job losses, Supply shocks
24 Comments
Ready For 4 Percent CPI By Mid-Year?
Starting to hear lots of talk about inflation these days, something we have been seeing in the pipeline for the past six months. Input price inflation accelerated to a near-decade high in January. Costs increased to the greatest extent since … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, Equities, Inflation/Deflation
Tagged CPI, Inflation, Job losses, Supply shocks
26 Comments
Comfortably Numb: Are We There Yet?
Markets certainly are. OKJust a little pinprickThere’ll be no more aaaaaaaah!But you may feel a little sick – Pink Floyd Hard to say what the pinprick will be. My bet is higher inflation and higher interest rates. On the … Continue reading
The Moment I Knew America Was In Trouble
We are reposting a piece from June 1st as we were very concerned about the stability of the American Street and where the country was headed. We were worried about a future full of “peril,” and after the events of … Continue reading
Inflation Cometh And So Is A Big Market Correction
It was hilarious, no, sad actually, to see a piece last week by some market strategist mocking the “inflation truthers.” Kind of like “election truthers?” Of course, he surely knows the one thing that can knock the markets on their … Continue reading
Welcome to 2021, Y’all!
By Carol K. Happy New Year, everyone! I hope everyone had a happy and relaxing holiday season – or as happy as can be in the midst of a global pandemic. I’ve been fighting a bout of pneumonia and was … Continue reading
Posted in Coach C, Equities
Tagged Market Volatility, Stock Market, Stock Market Valuations, Stock picking
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At Least Some Things Never Change
With the markets unmoored from historical reality (along with half the country, by the way) and valuations at historic and unprecedented extremes, it’s refreshing to see some things don’t change, such as the painful short squeeze taking place in the … Continue reading