Category Archives: Equities

This Quarter Was Different: The Big Reversal

Posted on October 1, 2022 by macromon

We’ve been all over the “Big Reset,” which is upending many things.  It’s disheartening to hear most of the Street analysts speak as if nothing has changed but prices.  All things as we have known and have become comfortably numb … Continue reading →

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The Moment I Knew America Was In Trouble, 3.0

Posted on August 15, 2022 by macromon

We are reposting a piece from June 1, 2020 as we are very concerned about the stability of the American Street and how much of our country is slouching toward a bizarre and unprecedented form of a dangerous fascism. [A]t … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Sufficiently Inefficient Efficient Markets

Posted on February 9, 2022 by macromon

#CKStrong  The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that prices reflect all available information. This leaves a lot of room for interpretation. Should asset prices be set by rational investors whose only concerns are systematic risk1 and expected returns? It seems … Continue reading →

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Black Monday, 1987: Inside The U.S. Treasury

Posted on October 18, 2021 by macromon

#CKStrong Originally Posted October 19, 2020 By Liam McPherson The following exchange took place between President Reagan and reporters after the market close on Black Monday, October 19, 1987.  Leaving to visit the First Lady in the hospital, President Reagan … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Equity | Tagged , | 21 Comments

Fed Heads Talking 4 Percent Inflation

Posted on April 8, 2021 by macromon

Fed's Kashkari says he would not panic if he saw a 4% inflation rate-BBG — LongConvexity (@LONGCONVEXITY) April 8, 2021 The bond market might, however, assuming Kashkari’s  quote is true. We are reposting a piece, which we recieved tremendous pushback … Continue reading →

Posted in Employment, Equities, Inflation/Deflation | Tagged , , , | 24 Comments

Ready For 4 Percent CPI By Mid-Year?

Posted on February 9, 2021 by macromon

Starting to hear lots of talk about inflation these days, something we have been seeing in the pipeline for the past six months. Input price inflation accelerated to a near-decade high in January. Costs increased to the greatest extent since … Continue reading →

Posted in Employment, Equities, Inflation/Deflation | Tagged , , , | 29 Comments

Hedge Fund Shorts Get Crushed

Posted on January 27, 2021 by macromon
Posted in Equities | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Comfortably Numb: Are We There Yet?

Posted on January 15, 2021 by macromon

Markets certainly are. OKJust a little pinprickThere’ll be no more aaaaaaaah!But you may feel a little sick – Pink Floyd Hard to say what the pinprick will be.  My bet is higher inflation and higher interest rates.    On the … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged | 2 Comments

The Moment I Knew America Was In Trouble

Posted on January 12, 2021 by macromon

We are reposting a piece from June 1st as we were very concerned about the stability of the American Street and where the country was headed.  We were worried about a future full of “peril,” and after the events of … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Inflation Cometh And So Is A Big Market Correction

Posted on January 11, 2021 by macromon

It was hilarious, no, sad actually, to see a piece last week by some market strategist mocking the “inflation truthers.”   Kind of like “election truthers?” Of course, he surely knows the one thing that can knock the markets on their … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities | Tagged , , | 4 Comments