Category Archives: Equities

Fading A China Trade Deal

Trump is going to have to cave on some major issues as it appears China is gearing up to play hardball and is ready to rumble in the next round of negotiations.  The Ministry of Commerce announced this morning the … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Politics, Trade War, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 9 Comments

Charts That Validate Stocks Are In The Process Of Topping

The S&P 200-day rolling return is an interesting chart but not much in the way of signals with the exception to illustrate the S&P500 does not fall out of the sky and enter bear markets after a strong 200-day run. … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, S&P500, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Stress Testing Apple

Goldman finally getting around to stress testing Apple as the trade war escalates.  They are out today warning Apple is in a world of hurt if China targets the iPhone maker in the trade war. The U.S.-China trade war could … Continue reading

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Is “Obama Envy” Driving Trump’s Call For QE4?

We are still dazed and a bit livid over President Trump’s call for QE4, and increasingly perplexed how the market just takes such absurdities, including his latest nominees to the Fed, in stride.  Is .999 percent the next target for … Continue reading

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Newton’s Q1 Law Of Motion For The S&P500

Newton’s three laws of motion may be stated as follows: Every object in a state of uniform motion will remain in that state of motion unless an external force acts on it. Force equals mass times acceleration. For every action, there is an equal and … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Equity, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Permabulls For The Long Run

  I once heard the late, great financial economist Stephen Ross speak at a Lehman Brothers bond conference in Sun Valley, Idaho.  He opened his presentation with a short story about how investors would approach him and ask, “if you’re … Continue reading

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Beware of Trannies That Lag

Summary We construct a relative performance index (TRP) of the Dow Transports and Dow Industrials Index  In all three large and major 2018 sell-offs, the TRP signaled an impending correction 7-18 trading days before markets rolled over The TRP peaked … Continue reading

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S&P500 Key Levels

The S&P closed right at or just a smidgen above its 200-day moving average.   The market rally based on a government shutdown deal?  Come on, man! Another government shutdown wasn’t priced, so why should stocks move on a deal? We … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Trade War, Trades, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 8 Comments

BFTP: Call Me Comrade!

BFTP = Blast From The Past Does it ever change? We were going through some old posts this morning and came across this pearl from over eight years ago.   Charges of socialism were also polluting the political environment back then … Continue reading

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The Clash of Generations, Fed, China, And The S&P500

We begin the new week with the S&P500 up over 15 percent from the December 26th intraday low at 2346.58 and sitting right at the 100-day moving average (2710.88) and the key .618 Fibo retracement at 2713.88.    Last weekend … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments