Category Archives: Equities

This Quarter Was Different: The Big Reversal

We’ve been all over the “Big Reset,” which is upending many things.  It’s disheartening to hear most of the Street analysts speak as if nothing has changed but prices.  All things as we have known and have become comfortably numb … Continue reading

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The Moment I Knew America Was In Trouble, 3.0

We are reposting a piece from June 1, 2020 as we are very concerned about the stability of the American Street and how much of our country is slouching toward a bizarre and unprecedented form of a dangerous fascism. [A]t … Continue reading

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Sufficiently Inefficient Efficient Markets

#CKStrong  The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that prices reflect all available information. This leaves a lot of room for interpretation. Should asset prices be set by rational investors whose only concerns are systematic risk1 and expected returns? It seems … Continue reading

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Black Monday, 1987: Inside The U.S. Treasury

#CKStrong Originally Posted October 19, 2020 By Liam McPherson The following exchange took place between President Reagan and reporters after the market close on Black Monday, October 19, 1987.  Leaving to visit the First Lady in the hospital, President Reagan … Continue reading

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Fed Heads Talking 4 Percent Inflation

Fed's Kashkari says he would not panic if he saw a 4% inflation rate-BBG — LongConvexity (@LONGCONVEXITY) April 8, 2021 The bond market might, however, assuming Kashkari’s  quote is true. We are reposting a piece, which we recieved tremendous pushback … Continue reading

Posted in Employment, Equities, Inflation/Deflation | Tagged , , , | 24 Comments

Ready For 4 Percent CPI By Mid-Year?

Starting to hear lots of talk about inflation these days, something we have been seeing in the pipeline for the past six months. Input price inflation accelerated to a near-decade high in January. Costs increased to the greatest extent since … Continue reading

Posted in Employment, Equities, Inflation/Deflation | Tagged , , , | 29 Comments

Hedge Fund Shorts Get Crushed

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Comfortably Numb: Are We There Yet?

Markets certainly are. OKJust a little pinprickThere’ll be no more aaaaaaaah!But you may feel a little sick – Pink Floyd Hard to say what the pinprick will be.  My bet is higher inflation and higher interest rates.    On the … Continue reading

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The Moment I Knew America Was In Trouble

We are reposting a piece from June 1st as we were very concerned about the stability of the American Street and where the country was headed.  We were worried about a future full of “peril,” and after the events of … Continue reading

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Inflation Cometh And So Is A Big Market Correction

It was hilarious, no, sad actually, to see a piece last week by some market strategist mocking the “inflation truthers.”   Kind of like “election truthers?” Of course, he surely knows the one thing that can knock the markets on their … Continue reading

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