Category Archives: Equities

Beware Mocking Bubbles & Bears

Once again, seeing lots of articles and talking heads mocking bubbles and the bears, which is usually a sign a big bubble is going to burst.  The last time we saw this kind of taunting of the bears was three … Continue reading

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The Summer Friday Ramp Into Close

Here we go again.  The Summer Friday afternoon ramp. We posted how the S&P tends to ramp into the close in our post on Monday (see below). No different today.  The S&P had traded in a 34.44 point range high-to-low … Continue reading

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A Short Stay At The Bear Trap Inn

As we suspected in last night’s post, A break of today’s low at 2945.23 cinches a beeline move to the 50-day, where algos will likely set their bear trap and try and bounce the market.  We expect a feeble bounce at best, … Continue reading

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Why Did Stocks Fall After Rate Cut?

Gravity.  Stock prices are waaay too high. Stocks went down not because the Fed messed up.  If they needed to cut 50 bps and signal more to come because of coming economic weakness, what in heavens name were stocks doing … Continue reading

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Fading A China Trade Deal

Trump is going to have to cave on some major issues as it appears China is gearing up to play hardball and is ready to rumble in the next round of negotiations.  The Ministry of Commerce announced this morning the … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Politics, Trade War, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 10 Comments

Charts That Validate Stocks Are In The Process Of Topping

The S&P 200-day rolling return is an interesting chart but not much in the way of signals with the exception to illustrate the S&P500 does not fall out of the sky and enter bear markets after a strong 200-day run. … Continue reading

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Stress Testing Apple

Goldman finally getting around to stress testing Apple as the trade war escalates.  They are out today warning Apple is in a world of hurt if China targets the iPhone maker in the trade war. The U.S.-China trade war could … Continue reading

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Is “Obama Envy” Driving Trump’s Call For QE4?

We are still dazed and a bit livid over President Trump’s call for QE4, and increasingly perplexed how the market just takes such absurdities, including his latest nominees to the Fed, in stride.  Is .999 percent the next target for … Continue reading

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Newton’s Q1 Law Of Motion For The S&P500

Newton’s three laws of motion may be stated as follows: Every object in a state of uniform motion will remain in that state of motion unless an external force acts on it. Force equals mass times acceleration. For every action, there is an equal and … Continue reading

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Permabulls For The Long Run

  I once heard the late, great financial economist Stephen Ross speak at a Lehman Brothers bond conference in Sun Valley, Idaho.  He opened his presentation with a short story about how investors would approach him and ask, “if you’re … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 8 Comments