Tag Archives: Stocks

Time For Some Context, Again

Money Fueled Bubble Speculative manias gather speed through expansion of money and credit. Most expansions of money and credit do not lead to a mania; there are many more economic expansions than there are manias. But every mania has been … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Equities | Tagged , , | 8 Comments

Has Netflix Peaked?

Our crack stock picker, Coach Carol,  thinks the probability favors the affirmative.  Personally,  I think Netflix, the service, is…rhymes with rap. The attraction of most of these streaming services, in my opinion, is their new content, and Amazon Prime is … Continue reading

Posted in Equity, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Why So Few Bears Own Park Avenue Apartments

Summary Bears can’t win the long-game, the probabilities are stacked against them as stocks (DJIA) have generated positive returns for almost 70 percent of the last 100 years Bears also face a relatively new (since the 1990s) headwind,  that is … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 12 Comments

Are You Buying At These Valuations? Not Buffett

More than his words, he spoke with his wallet. He usually relishes a down stock market to take advantage of lower prices. Not this time. He hadn’t made any purchases recently; he didn’t buy up stocks when they had fallen … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Coronavirus, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 18 Comments

Stonks Finally Mugged By A Dose Of Reality

After watching this incredible bubble go up every-freaking-day and the speculative fever feed on itself, the market finally got its reality check today. Tied For Second Largest Point Drop (rounding up) Today’s flop marks only the third time in history … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Stocks Get Vertical & Vertigo

This is some chart.  Even if you assume a structural shift in valuations began when the Fed started backstopping markets after the 1987 crash, that puts the average valuation of the Wilshire Market Cap to GDP at 92.58 percent.   That’s … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Huawei’s American Suppliers Set To Rock The Casbah, Or Not?

Here are some of the top American suppliers to Huawei that should Rock the Casbah in Monday trading after Trump’s rethink the Chinese company is a national security risk. It’s still not clear what the Trump-Xi Osaka handshake and agreement mean, … Continue reading

Posted in China, Trade War, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Quarter In Review – March 28

Summary Big bounce in all assets after the Q4/December downdraft Global bond yields way down on global deflation panic as $11 trillion in global bonds now have negative yields The Power of Zero (yields) has driven stocks up with China … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Week in Review | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Global Risk Monitor – March 29

We will be phasing out free rider access to the Global Risk Monitor during our website overhaul scheduled to take place over the next month. Contribute by clicking on donate widget on the right-hand side of the website.   

Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Week In Review – March 22

Summary Big move in 10-year yields fueled by dovish Fed and ugly German economic data German 10-year Bund yields crossed into negative territory Turkey and Brazil bond yields blow out on currency weakness and Brazil’s political risk we spoke about … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized, Week in Review | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment