Category Archives: Inflation/Deflation

Trump & Co Must Abandon The Stock Market To Save It

No bottom in stocks or the economy until the test kits are ubiquitous.   We believe markets want an aggressive plan and action to treat the disease rather than focusing on the symptoms. Then markets will take care of themselves and … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Equities, Inflation/Deflation, Interest Rates, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Curse Of The Magazine Cover Strikes Again!

Wow, the Economist had almost perfect timing. After publishing the following cover on Thursday, the Nasdaq 100 is down 7 percent in two days.   Regression To The Mean So, is there anything to the Magazine Cover Jinx?    We … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Housing, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Two Charts Keeping Us On The Beach

I’ve seen fire and I’ve seen rain.  I’ve seen manias the public thought would never end. Until they do. This ain’t our first rodeo.  We have seen these types of asset bubbles many times during our career, especially when you … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Housing, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

Inflation, Minimum Wages, Suicide, & Karl Marx

Is the rise of the global populism the result of a mismeasurement of inflation? “Look around the world, I see small revolutions everywhere, in France with the gilets jaunes, Brexit in the UK, the election of Trump. I see a … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged | Leave a comment

Our Favorite Chart: Core CPI

“Inflation is taxation without legislation” – Milton Friedman How’s that deflation meme working for you? Core CPI’s Cup and Handle Pattern  Back in the day, I would be buying that chart hand over fist if it were a stock, bond, … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged | 3 Comments

More Monetary Insanity & The Negative Yielding Bond Bubble

Had to get this last one in before we hit the surf. We like to look at the Cleveland Fed’s Median CPI calculation as it removes monthly outliers that can pull the averages up or down.  It hit a 10-year … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Deflation? Not Even Close

Core CPI consistently prints around 2 percent, the average over the past eight years, with the latest reading of the June core rate coming in at 2.1 percent.  Sure, we can find another index to show lower or higher rates … Continue reading

Posted in Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 4 Comments

The Gathering Storm In The Treasury Market 2.0

Here it is, folks,  the final product. It is a beast.  One famous blogger said of it, “This post is so big, you can see it from space.” We hope you take the time to give it a thorough read.  … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Emerging Markets, Fiscal Policy, Inflation/Deflation, Interest Rates, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 43 Comments

Distorted Inflation Data & Dynamic Pricing

Just bought Bob Woodward’s new book for a birthday gift from Amazon yesterday for $18.00.  I tried to buy another one this morning and was quoted a price of  $19.32 per book.   That’s Venezuela-esque inflation, folks.  Works out to … Continue reading

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Inflation Drives Apple Market Cap To One Trillion Dollars

1012 Apple’s market cap hit 1012 dollars today. Impressive but no pom-poms here at Global Macro Monitor.  We would be more impressed if Apple’s main businesses were doing better and the company was more focused on electrical engineering rather than … Continue reading

Posted in Apple, Inflation/Deflation, Innovation, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 18 Comments