Category Archives: Inflation/Deflation

Deflation? Not Even Close

Core CPI consistently prints around 2 percent, the average over the past eight years, with the latest reading of the June core rate coming in at 2.1 percent.  Sure, we can find another index to show lower or higher rates … Continue reading

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The Gathering Storm In The Treasury Market 2.0

Here it is, folks,  the final product. It is a beast.  One famous blogger said of it, “This post is so big, you can see it from space.” We hope you take the time to give it a thorough read.  … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Emerging Markets, Fiscal Policy, Inflation/Deflation, Interest Rates, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 43 Comments

Distorted Inflation Data & Dynamic Pricing

Just bought Bob Woodward’s new book for a birthday gift from Amazon yesterday for $18.00.  I tried to buy another one this morning and was quoted a price of  $19.32 per book.   That’s Venezuela-esque inflation, folks.  Works out to … Continue reading

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Inflation Drives Apple Market Cap To One Trillion Dollars

1012 Apple’s market cap hit 1012 dollars today. Impressive but no pom-poms here at Global Macro Monitor.  We would be more impressed if Apple’s main businesses were doing better and the company was more focused on electrical engineering rather than … Continue reading

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QOTD: Paul Tudor Jones

Note, no mention of “recession”, the trigger for the cheerleaders.  The bear market of    1962 and 1987 occurred with robust economic growth. You look at every bear market and they’ve always basically occurred because of an uptick in inflation … Continue reading

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Inflation Rising…Super Spike In Yields Coming?

Yield curve flattening trades will flatten you in the next six months.  The march toward 4 percent on the 10-year will continue after record shorts square up positions just a little bit more. Inflation moving higher. Moreover, the supply/demand flow … Continue reading

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Inflation Is Here, Get Used To It

I stopped to grab a burger in Marin County today and was kind of shocked to see the following posted on the front door.     That is a pretty steep starting wage for nonskilled labor, and $5.00 more than … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Food Prices, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 56 Comments

Inflation Indicators: Measures & Composition

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Upward Pressure On Interest Rates To Continue

Though wage inflation came in nice and cool on Friday,  the following chart illustrates why upward pressure on long-term interest rates will continue.   We updated our Who’s Funding The U.S. Budget Deficit chart with the just released Flow of Funds … Continue reading

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Lies, Damned Lies, And Statistics…And The CPI

The first three of those words are attributed to the British Prime Minister,  Benjamin Disraeli, and also sometimes associated with Mark Twain. You know our skepticism of most government data, especially the BLS calculation of inflation in consumer goods and … Continue reading

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