Category Archives: Monetary Policy

What Are Bond Yields & Breakevens Telling Us?

Posted on October 20, 2021 by macromon

#CKStrong    Carol K.’s ANC broke above 1200 today.  Absolute Neutrophil Count (ANC ) measures a type of white blood cell that kill and digest bacteria and fungi to help the body fight infections and heal wounds. At a time … Continue reading →

Posted in Fiscal Cliff Monitor, Fiscal Policy, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Why This QE Is Different In One Chart

Posted on February 25, 2021 by macromon

Robin Hood traders don’t bother reading. The latest round of central bank balance sheet expansion, which will reaccelerate soon as Biden’s COVID bill is passed, needs some context. By the way, we did some rough approximations late last night and … Continue reading →

Posted in Monetary Policy | Tagged | 3 Comments

US Facing Mounting Debt Amid Global Pandemic – ABC

Posted on July 21, 2020 by macromon

Good interview with Professor Barry Eichengreen of UC Berkeley, a good friend of GMM, and odds on favorite to be a Nobel laureate one day.   We agree with him that now is not the time to worry about the public … Continue reading →

Posted in Debt, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Markets Have Jumped The Shark

Posted on July 1, 2020 by macromon

Welcome to the Twilight Zone.    Nothing seems real anymore — not the economy, not the markets, not the politics — and it is increasingly difficult to distinguish the difference between what is and what isn’t.  It truly feels the economy, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 18 Comments

The Last Central Banker With Balls

Posted on December 9, 2019 by macromon

[Balls as in courage and bravery.  Exemplified in the quote,  “Margaret Thatcher was Ronald Reagan with balls.”  Don’t get all PC on us now!] As a graduate student, I interviewed at the Federal Reserve Board in the Eccles Building on … Continue reading →

Posted in Banking, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged | Leave a comment

Are Central Banks Ready To Break Their Codependency?

Posted on August 27, 2019 by macromon

Breaking our radio silence as we couldn’t help ourselves after reading former NY Fed President William Dudley’s piece imploring the Fed to stop enabling Trump’s  trade war. It sounds like central bankers are starting to realize they are, and have been, … Continue reading →

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Maybe 25 bps

Posted on July 10, 2019 by macromon

This should be baked in, and even a bit disappointing, but, like my Australian Shepherd, markets like to run.  Though hard to predict for how long. Since our May meeting, however, these crosscurrents have reemerged, creating greater uncertainty. Apparent progress … Continue reading →

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Predictions Market On Fed Nominees

Posted on April 18, 2019 by macromon

Prediction markets not pricing the confirmation of Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Federal Reserve Board.  Stay tuned.  

Posted in Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

BFTP: The Biggest Risk At The Fed

Posted on April 3, 2019 by macromon

BFTP = Blast From The Past It’s now been more than a year since this post.   We can’t take a victory lap on such nonsense but we will say, “we told you so.”   The consequences are gonna be … Continue reading →

Posted in Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

QOTD: More On Moore

Posted on March 23, 2019 by macromon

QOTD = Quote of the Day Memo to Senate: Just Say No …today the president nominates Stephen Moore to be a Fed governor. Steve is a perfectly amiable guy, but he does not have the intellectual gravitas for this important … Continue reading →

Posted in Economics, Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 2 Comments