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In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
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Category Archives: Euro
“The European Union borders and the Schengen borders will be closed”
It’s becoming pretty clear to us that the world is going to look much different on the other side of this crisis. Diminished global supply chains and more nationalism. Slower growth and higher inflation. Much will depend on the outcome … Continue reading
Mme. Euro’s Wild Ride
Buying the euro with an 80 cent handle was such a no-brainer at the beginning of the millennium. Here? A much tougher call. We do think the euro, in its current form, will not last. We suspect the first step, … Continue reading
As Everyone Looks Right, Germany Is Swinging Left
This is stunning and a shocker. The support for Germany’s Green Party has doubled since the beginning of the year, while the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD), after peaking in the summer, is right back where it was. The AfD, … Continue reading
Why Gold Is Such A Dog
Summary Gold prices have been in a bear market since the August 2011 peak at $1920 Prices are making new 52-week lows Gold has primarily been a monetary asset throughout history and moves closely with the global monetary base (GMB), … Continue reading
Posted in Euro, Fed, Gold, Uncategorized
Tagged Global Monetary Base, Gold Price, Total international rerves
2 Comments
Eurozone Finance Ministers Weigh Up Debt Relief
At the 20th Eurogroup meeting of Eurozone finance ministers, the Greek economy was on the agenda. They are weighing up the question of debt relief for Greece as well as the surveillance of its economy in the years to come.… … Continue reading
Posted in Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Uncategorized
Tagged Debt Relief, Greece
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Greece’s economy at a turning point?
Eurozone FInance Ministers will on Thursday settle the future of Greece’s debt relief programme. After 8 years of austerity, the country is showing signs of progress. But Greeks abroad show no sign of coming home, according to a recent survey.… … Continue reading
Who is Spain’s new prime minister?
► Read – Spanish parliament votes to replace Rajoy with Sánchez as PM https://on.ft.com/2JbWrCt
Posted in Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Politics, Spain, Uncategorized
Tagged Politics, Rajoy, Sanchez, Spain
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Swan Lake – May 31
Italy calmer as market turns it focus on trade wars. Deutsche Bank making all-time lows as it was hammered again due to its U.S. business put on problem bank list. DB is now getting the market’s attention but still doesn’t … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Uncategorized
Tagged Deutsche Bank, European Debt, Italy, Macro Swans
2 Comments
Swan Lake – May 30
Italy’s president has attempted to broker an eleventh-hour deal between the country’s two largest populist parties to avoid another destabilising national election, helping Italian assets recover from a sell-off that rattled investors worldwide. Sergio Mattarella, who triggered this week’s crisis … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, ECB, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Italian Yields, Italy, Uncategorized
Tagged Italian sovereign spreads
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