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Tag Archives: Politics
The Medicaid Surge: Economic Drivers, the Unwinding, and the OBBBA Retrenchment
Ten Key Takeaways: Our analysis in our recent post, “America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover,” highlights that while recent deficit figures may appear to show a very slight improvement, they mask a deeper, persistent fiscal fragility driven by … Continue reading
Presidential Budget Deficits
We are reposting the Appendix added and updated to yesterday’s post, America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover. We thought it important as President Trump has formally requested a historic $1.5 trillion national defense budget for Fiscal Year 2027. This … Continue reading
America’s Fiscal Mirage: Tariff Sugar Rush, Structural Hangover
The headlines look almost encouraging. The U.S. federal deficit for the first seven months of fiscal year 2026 came in at $955 billion — $94 billion better than the same period a year earlier. Revenues rose 7%, outlays only 3%. … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – April 17
Markets are currently behaving with the volatile, erratic energy of a teenager on a sugar high, oscillating between “the war is over” euphoria and the sobering realization that geopolitical stability is currently being drafted on a napkin in a war … Continue reading
The $50 Disconnect: Why Physical Oil is Screaming While Futures Whisper
The global oil market is currently flashing a “code red” for portfolio managers and energy traders. While headline futures remain relatively anchored, the physical market is screaming of a systemic shortage. As reported by the Financial Times, a desperate scramble … Continue reading
Oil Shock Therapy – When WTI Breaks the World Order
The oil market just delivered one of those “stop what you’re doing” moments: U.S. benchmark WTI trading at a premium to Brent. That’s not just unusual, it’s a signal flare for acute market dislocation. What Happened (and Why It Matters) … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 20
The dominant market story this past week was not simply that risk assets sold off, it was that geopolitics forcibly rewired the macro regime. The escalation surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz has shifted markets from a “disinflation + … Continue reading
The Best MLK Weekend Of All-Time
In celebration of MLK Weekend, we are reposting a repost of a repost of post in honor of Dr. King, one of our most outstanding Americans, a true patriot, and a modern-day saint. Hard to believe it’s been thirty years. … Continue reading
Posted in Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged civil-rights, Ebenezer Baptist Church, History, King Center, life, Martin Luther King, MLK, mlk-day, News, Politics
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Back to Yalta: A Great Power Carve Up 2.0
After this morning’s events in Caracas, a repost of last year’s piece feels not only appropriate, but unavoidable. What once looked like a theoretical great-power contest is now playing out in real time, across real countries, with real consequences. If … Continue reading
Tariff Reality Roasts the White House
On April 6, the Global Macro Monitor wrote: The strategy’s incoherence is evident in absurd measures such as, for example, a tariff on coffee, an import for which the U.S. lacks viable domestic production except de minimis production in Hawaii and … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 