Tag Archives: Tariffs

Stress Testing Apple

Posted on May 22, 2019 by

Goldman finally getting around to stress testing Apple as the trade war escalates.  They are out today warning Apple is in a world of hurt if China targets the iPhone maker in the trade war. The U.S.-China trade war could … Continue reading →

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Who Pays The Tariffs?

Posted on May 14, 2019 by

I had some very interesting discussions on social media last night on who is paying for the U.S.-China Trade War.   It was kind of shocking that many didn’t even understand the basic tenets of economics yet have strong convictions held … Continue reading →

Posted in Trade War, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

The Trade Cascade…

Posted on February 7, 2019 by

The genius market pundits are/will attribute today’s modest decline to the following trade tape bomb from CNBC, Trump is ‘highly unlikely’ to meet Chinese President Xi before March trade deadline  – CNBC Sorry, the Dow was already down 250 points … Continue reading →

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China’s Other Nuclear Option

Posted on March 25, 2018 by

Sorry to be such a downer, folks. We have to stress test the macro scenarios versus current market conditions by looking at worst case events, then calculating expected values based on the most likely probabilities. Especially after such a huge … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, China, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 17 Comments

As We Were Saying…

Posted on March 9, 2018 by

…yesterday on politics driving the tariff  “proclamation.” It is All Politics Note, today’s announcement on tariffs was a proclamation, not even a legal document.   Only words, and we know, for certainty, with this president, words can mean whatever he wants … Continue reading →

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The “Navarro Falls” Beckon

Posted on March 6, 2018 by

Right on schedule the barrel and catalyst —  in the form of Gary Cohn’s resignation — cue up to take stocks over the waterfall. Let’s call it what it is, “The Niagara Navarro Falls“. . Cramer’s Mad Money Wow, it … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Equities, President Trump, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments