Tag Archives: Tariffs

Stress Testing Apple

Goldman finally getting around to stress testing Apple as the trade war escalates.  They are out today warning Apple is in a world of hurt if China targets the iPhone maker in the trade war. The U.S.-China trade war could … Continue reading

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Who Pays The Tariffs?

I had some very interesting discussions on social media last night on who is paying for the U.S.-China Trade War.   It was kind of shocking that many didn’t even understand the basic tenets of economics yet have strong convictions held … Continue reading

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The Trade Cascade…

The genius market pundits are/will attribute today’s modest decline to the following trade tape bomb from CNBC, Trump is ‘highly unlikely’ to meet Chinese President Xi before March trade deadline  – CNBC Sorry, the Dow was already down 250 points … Continue reading

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China’s Other Nuclear Option

Sorry to be such a downer, folks. We have to stress test the macro scenarios versus current market conditions by looking at worst case events, then calculating expected values based on the most likely probabilities. Especially after such a huge … Continue reading

Posted in Apple, China, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 17 Comments

As We Were Saying…

…yesterday on politics driving the tariff  “proclamation.” It is All Politics Note, today’s announcement on tariffs was a proclamation, not even a legal document.   Only words, and we know, for certainty, with this president, words can mean whatever he wants … Continue reading

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The “Navarro Falls” Beckon

Right on schedule the barrel and catalyst —  in the form of Gary Cohn’s resignation — cue up to take stocks over the waterfall. Let’s call it what it is, “The Niagara Navarro Falls“. . Cramer’s Mad Money Wow, it … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Equities, President Trump, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments