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Tag Archives: finance
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – April 17
Markets are currently behaving with the volatile, erratic energy of a teenager on a sugar high, oscillating between “the war is over” euphoria and the sobering realization that geopolitical stability is currently being drafted on a napkin in a war … Continue reading
Oil Shock Therapy – When WTI Breaks the World Order
The oil market just delivered one of those “stop what you’re doing” moments: U.S. benchmark WTI trading at a premium to Brent. That’s not just unusual, it’s a signal flare for acute market dislocation. What Happened (and Why It Matters) … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – March 27
Global markets are no longer simply trending lower, they are fracturing under policy uncertainty and headline-driven volatility. The U.S. market has suffered its fifth consecutive weekly decline in major U.S. indices, with the S&P 500 down ~7% YTD and the … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 20
The dominant market story this past week was not simply that risk assets sold off, it was that geopolitics forcibly rewired the macro regime. The escalation surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz has shifted markets from a “disinflation + … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 13
Global markets ended the week in classic late-cycle fashion: equities tried to look composed, while everything underneath them looked increasingly less so. The dominant macro transmission channel was energy. The Iran conflict and the closing of the Strait of Hormuz … Continue reading
The Oil Shock vs. Irrational Resilience
As we approach the Ides of March, the S&P 500 is performing a high-wire act that should give even the most seasoned bull a case of vertigo. Currently sitting at 6,672, the index is a mere 4.7% below its recent … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 6
The global market narrative has been utterly hijacked by the seventh day of the U.S./Iran conflict. While Washington demands “unconditional surrender,” the energy markets are issuing a surrender of their own, to pure, unadulterated upward momentum. Crude oil prices surged … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Feb 27
This commentary will necessarily be speculative. Trading this week will likely be dominated by the breakout of war with Iran. However, markets do not trade in the short-term on logic; they trade on positioning, leverage, and emotion, often in that … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Feb 6
The week ending February 6 was defined by rising internal stress beneath still-resilient headline equity levels, with sharp dispersion across asset classes and regions. U.S. equities experienced notable volatility, with the S&P 500 briefly touching record highs early in the … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Jan 30
Global markets ended the week with rising internal stress beneath still-resilient headline equity levels, setting up a fragile start to the new week. While U.S. equities held modest January gains, risk signals deteriorated meaningfully late in the week, culminating in … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 