President Biden’s odds at PredictIt.org of being re-elected in November cratered after the release of last week’s special counsel’s classified documents report. He was cleared, but the following language in the report inflicted a major political flesh wound,
“at trial, Mr Biden would likely present himself to a jury, as he did during our interview of him, as a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory“. – Special Counsel’s Office
Global Macro Monitor 
Good God, when are we going to learn that this “special counsel” is a Republican who served in the Trump administration and as when Bill Clinton was “investigated” in the 1990’s, is deliberately inserting misleading language to damage Biden politically. Multiple legal analysts, Democratic and Republican, are loudly and legitimately blasting Robert Hur’s language as gratuitous, inaccurate, unprofessional, and most of all, unnecessary. Furthermore, that Trump’s obvious mental and emotional deterioration is unworthy of any comment by you or this predictive model renders this supposed analysis of the 2024 election laughably suspect.
That you cannot see clearly what is a blunt political hit job makes me doubt your ability or credibility to assess the overall political environment let alone the 2024 election. You’re smarter than this. Do better!
Agree, was going to add a “cheap shot” comment but wanted to make the post a positive rather than normative observation. That is just the facts…”the report tanked Biden’s market probabilities.”