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Global Macro Monitor 
Not quite in where it matters… https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ while Trumpy… https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/ . Statistical significance aside, Biden did improve in general poll setting, though, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/. But you really do have to disregard statistical significance to see that difference.
Follow the money. It’s the worst predictor except for all others.