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Author Archives: macromon
COTD: The Bull Market In Satellites
COTD = Chart of the Day If the idea of tech impresarios sending fleets of satellites into space to revolutionize communications by making high-speed connections available just about everywhere sounds familiar, it should. That’s certainly the news of today, with Elon … Continue reading
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Biden’s Market Probability of Re-election Craters
President Biden’s odds at PredictIt.org of being re-elected in November cratered after the release of last week’s special counsel’s classified documents report. He was cleared, but the following language in the report inflicted a major political flesh wound, “at trial, … Continue reading
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 9
We added a Fed tracker at the bottom of the yields page, which measures the change in the expected Fed Funds rate at each upcoming FOMC meeting throughout the rest of the year. The rate is a weighted average of … Continue reading
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Run-CMC: David Tepper’s Worst Trade?
The 49ers’ running back, Christian McCaffrey, aka CMC, was instrumental in leading his team to Super Bowl LVIII, which will be played on February 11th in Las Vegas. CMC came to the Niners in a trade for draft picks in … Continue reading
Can The Fed Cut Rates w/ Financial Conditions So Easy?
The Fed’s attempt to tighten monetary policy is being cannibalized by the private sector’s accelerated easing of financial conditions through market-based financial instruments. The following chart is simply stunning. Since the Fed began its monetary tightening campaign in March … Continue reading
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Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Stock Market
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The Economist Cover Confirms Our Priors
Prior probability, in Bayesian statistics, is the probability of an event before new data is collected. This is the best rational assessment of the probability of an outcome based on the current knowledge before an experiment is performed. Prior probability can … Continue reading
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Global Macro Monitor 