Category Archives: PIIGS

Sovereign Debt and Geriatric Deadbeats

In the spirit of our earlier post, The Clash of Generations, we point you to an interesting piece, Geiatric Deadbeats, written by Ali Alichi of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).   He argues the age of a country’s population is inversely … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Demographics, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Quote of the Day: Brussels, We Have a Problem

According to current banking regulations, sovereign credits are considered “risk-free.”   This means that banks can take on as much sovereign credit risk as they like without setting aside any capital.  Under such a structure, selling short CDS protection is akin … Continue reading

Posted in PIIGS, Policy, Quote of the Day, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Why Europe Can’t Afford a Greek Haircut

If a picture is worth a thousand words, the following chart from the IMF encapsulates all the analysis one needs to understand why Mr. Trichet and the rest of the Eurozone bureaucracy are so adamant about not letting Greece restructure … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

Chart of the Day: Greek Parliament

(click here if chart is not observable)

Posted in Chart of the Day, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged | 1 Comment

Merkel Hammers Greece on Retirement Age and Vacation

The European election cycle is kicking into high gear as the German chancellor had some tough words for Greece,  Spain, and Portugal.  Spiegel ONLINE reports, “It is also important that people in countries like Greece, Spain and Portugal are not … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The New (La)Garde at the IMF?

That’s our bet.    Also check out the WashPost piece, Why Christine Lagarde should run the IMF.    (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in General Interest, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , | 1 Comment

A Credible & Comprehensive Plan for Europe’s Debt Crisis

The following is the Executive Summary of a longer article that offers up a credible and comprehensive plan for the European Debt Crisis, which deals with the periphery debt overhang  and weak balance sheets of Europe’s commercial banks.  It has … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Euro, Geopolitical, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Euro Fracture: Foreign Bank Exposure to GIPs

Great chart from the Economist of foreign bank exposure to Greece, Ireland, and Portugal (GIP) and explains why “restructuring” is so taboo with European policymakers. The Greek sovereign credit curve is inverted with the 2-year now yielding around 18 percent … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Euro Fracture: Greek Restructuring? – German FinMin

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble raised the specter of a Greece restructuring in an interview with German newspaper Die Welt.   Yields on Greek 10-year bonds jumped to 13.26 percent and the two-year note yield surged 103 basis points to 17.96 … Continue reading

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Euro Fracture: A “Tea Party” Revolt?

Much has been written about the growing anger and political strife within the highly indebted European periphery.   The FT reports today about the growing anger and resentment in the countries financing the bailouts, Even among Brussels’ tightly-knit cadre of … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, Fiscal Policy, Geopolitical, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 3 Comments