Category Archives: Uncategorized

“Here it comes. Oh my goodness. In your life have you seen anything like that?” — Vern  Lundquist, 2005 Masters

The Treasury released the latest budget data last week, indicating a 12-month rolling deficit of $1.7 trillion, equivalent to our estimated 5.86% of GDP. The deficit-to-GDP ratio is trending positively, showing a decrease in the deficit relative to GDP. This … Continue reading →

This chart really fits our zeitgeist of shorter attention spans and what used to be a 280-character culture. 

President Biden has fully recovered from the downturn in his election prospects, as observed in the prediction markets after the Special Counsel described him as a “sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.” The rebound coincides with the recent … Continue reading →

In my early teens, I befriended a Cy Young Award-winning pitcher from the Dodgers who eschewed the celebrity culture of autograph signing. He would often advise young fans to seek autographs from their teachers instead, arguing that educators play a … Continue reading →

This is a must-view, folks. One of the most important Collective Illusions we’ve ever discovered has to do with the way that people define a successful life. It turns out the vast majority of the American public believes that most … Continue reading →