Daily Tracking Poll Now At +16 For Trump’s Removal

This MSN daily tracking poll is often cited by the Drudge Report.  On Christmas Day, Drudge ran this:

CHRISTMAS SHOCK POLL: 55% SUPPORT REMOVAL OF TRUMP

Is anyone watching?

Is it a fake poll?

Are the Republican Senators watching and starting to feel some heat back home?

Mr. Market certainly is not or is highly discounting the veracity of the data or its eventual impact on at least 20 Republican Senators.

December 28 Polling Data

The daily movement could just be all noise but keep it on your radar, folks, as that looks like some kind of break on December 18th, the day President Trump was impeached.

Even taking into account the best-case scenario, where the margin of errors on both support and remove favor Trump,  removal is still +10.  The worst-case for the President on both the margin of errors is +22 for removal.

Daily_Tracking

Why The Break?

Our best guess is that President Trump was impeached on December 18th and the highly regarded evangelical magazine, Christianity Today called for Trump’s removal the next day.  White evangelicals are among President Trump’s staunchest supporters.

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To the many evangelicals who continue to support Mr. Trump in spite of his blackened moral record, we might say this: Remember who you are and whom you serve. Consider how your justification of Mr. Trump influences your witness to your Lord and Savior. Consider what an unbelieving world will say if you continue to brush off Mr. Trump’s immoral words and behavior in the cause of political expediency. If we don’t reverse course now, will anyone take anything we say about justice and righteousness with any seriousness for decades to come? Can we say with a straight face that abortion is a great evil that cannot be tolerated and, with the same straight face, say that the bent and broken character of our nation’s leader doesn’t really matter in the end? – CT

It may be that many of the evangelicals are taking Christianity Today’s words to heart.  We saw some crosstabs of a poll taken just after impeachment that had 43 percent of evangelicals supporting removal.   If those numbers continue to move north, the President could be in real trouble.

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Prepare for some big-time political fireworks to ring in the new decade.  We do not, however, believe President Trump will be removed by a Senate conviction.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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1 Response to Daily Tracking Poll Now At +16 For Trump’s Removal

  1. Andre Glauser says:

    No, you are biased and report it as a fake conclusion based on a flawed question. The poll clearly asks whether someone supports the VOTE, not supports to IMPEACH AND REMOVE.

    There should ideally be 100% support to VOTE for or against Impeachment, but if someone has 100% certainty that they would not impeach, they would not support the vote, so the polling question renders the results as meaningless.

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