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Author Archives: macromon
COTD: Nattie Out of Gas?
COTD = Chart of the Day Oh, Nattie, you beast! You are the “widow maker.“. You have hurt us so many times. Natural Gas US natural gas futures capped a fourth monthly loss in February after prices plummeted to lows … Continue reading
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Does the Stock Market Leap On Leap Days?
If the stock market is defined as the S&P500, the answer is: “On average, no.” The following table illustrates that of the 13 leap trading days (February 29) since 1950, when the markets were open, the average leap day … Continue reading
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A Presidential Election Arbitrage?
We have noticed an interesting anomaly with respect to the U.S. Presidential election in the political betting markets over at PredictIt.org. We’ve been trading on this site since the 2004 election. The site is pricing the Democratic Party to win … Continue reading
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