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Category Archives: Black Swan Watch
Chart of the Day: Modified Crowding Out
Modified “crowding out.” The government shall be funded! (click here if chart is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Charts, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Banks, Crowding Out, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain
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Athens still able to borrow despite political uncertainty
Here’s an analyst saying Greek living standards would plunge by 80 percent if they leave the Euro. This must assume most Greeks have their savings in Greek banks or local assets, which raises the issue of capital flight as the … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Politics
Tagged European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greece, Italy, Spain
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Statfor: The Rise of the European Political Fringe
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Politics
Tagged European Politics, France, German Pirate Party, Greece, Hollande
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Quote of the Day: Dissing the European Vote
You think this is why markets have bounced and are so sanguine about the European elections? We’re not so sure the European street can be dismissed that easily. “In 1981, François Mitterrand had one-and-a-half years to correct his Socialist course. … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged France, French elections, Germany, Hollande, Merkel
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Picture of the Day: Bad Moon Rising?
Was last night’s incredible shot of the Super Moon rising over the Parthenon in Athens a bad omen of things to come? Some see a bad moon rising given the results of today’s elections in Greece and France. Buckle up! … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro, Picture of the Day, PIIGS
Tagged Athens, France, Greece, Parthenon, Super Moon
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Issues in the French presidential run-off
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Politics
Tagged France, Hollande, Merkozy, Presidential Election, Sarkozy
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Milken Institute: Is It Time to Invest in Europe?
This is a must view panel discussion, folks. Panel Detail: Is It Time to Invest in Europe? Tuesday, May 1, 2012 11:00 AM – 12:15 PM Speakers: Wolfgang Alkier, Co-Founder and Managing Director, Absolute Return Consulting GmbH Francesca Carega, Co-Head, … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Bernard Connolly, Hugh Hendry, Milken Institute
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Bonjour Two Tier Euro?
We’ve always held the end game in Europe will be the stronger northern countries eventually pulling out of the Euro. The path to the end game we do not know. Sunday’s election in France, may, or may not, be the … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Elections, Euro, France, Gemany, Hollande, Two Tier Euro
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Euro Trashed
As we posted last week, Enter French Politics (and Dutch). (click here if video is not observable)
