Category Archives: Uncategorized

Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – April 12

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Musicians, Know Thy Market

This chart really fits our zeitgeist of shorter attention spans and what used to be a 280-character culture. 

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – April 5

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Looking to the Skies to Divine the Future

Next week’s solar eclipse has sparked speculation among some in the extremes of the evangelical community, suggesting it may herald the second coming of Christ. The eclipse, set for April 8, 2024, will be visible across much of North America. … Continue reading →

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Biden Rising

President Biden has fully recovered from the downturn in his election prospects, as observed in the prediction markets after the Special Counsel described him as a “sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.” The rebound coincides with the recent … Continue reading →

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What Do Teachers Make?

In my early teens, I befriended a Cy Young Award-winning pitcher from the Dodgers who eschewed the celebrity culture of autograph signing. He would often advise young fans to seek autographs from their teachers instead, arguing that educators play a … Continue reading →

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Is America Suffering From Collective Illusions?

This is a must-view, folks. One of the most important Collective Illusions we’ve ever discovered has to do with the way that people define a successful life. It turns out the vast majority of the American public believes that most … Continue reading →

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COTD: Relative Stock Market Capitalizations

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – March 22

We have incorporated several AI-focused ETFs into our equity table. Additionally, observe the trend in financial conditions as indicated by the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index, detailed in the commodities table. The index’s current reading of -0.53 – measured … Continue reading →

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The Realpolitik Grand Divergence

The diverging relationship between economic performance and political success in the U.S. highlights a shift from the past, where a strong economy positively impacted incumbent approval ratings. President Biden’s approval ratings remain unaffected despite recent economic improvements, suggesting a decoupling … Continue reading →

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