20 Emerging Technologies That Will Change Everything

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 16

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Guam: The Next Global Flashpoint?

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COTD: The Bull Market In Satellites

COTD = Chart of the Day

If the idea of tech impresarios sending fleets of satellites into space to revolutionize communications by making high-speed connections available just about everywhere sounds familiar, it should. That’s certainly the news of today, with Elon Musk’s Starlink already girdling the globe with more than 4,000 satellites in low-Earth orbit and rivals including Amazon.com Inc.’s 3,236-satellite Project Kuiper—the brainchild of founder Jeff Bezos—not far behind. – Bloomberg

 

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The Risks of the Magnificant 7

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Biden’s Market Probability of Re-election Craters

President Biden’s odds at PredictIt.org of being re-elected in November cratered after the release of last week’s special counsel’s classified documents report.  He was cleared, but the following language in the report inflicted a major political flesh wound, 

“at trial, Mr Biden would likely present himself to a jury, as he did during our interview of him, as a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory“. – Special Counsel’s Office

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 9

We added a Fed tracker at the bottom of the yields page, which measures the change in the expected Fed Funds rate at each upcoming FOMC meeting throughout the rest of the year.  The rate is a weighted average of market probabilities.  Note the significant market revisions this past week in the later months, such as an increase of 63 bps for the December meeting.  Is Mr. Market listening?  

 

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Fed Chairman Powell’s 60 Minutes Interview

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Global Risk Monitor: Month In Review – January

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Run-CMC: David Tepper’s Worst Trade?

The 49ers’ running back, Christian McCaffrey, aka CMC, was instrumental in leading his team to Super Bowl LVIII, which will be played on February 11th in Las Vegas.   CMC came to the Niners in a trade for draft picks in October 2022 from the Carolina Panthers, owned by hedge fund great David Tepper.   

We are big fans of Tepper and have posted several pieces about him on GMM, including what he calls his worst trade ever — buying Russian local currency T-Bills or GKOs in the late ’90’s.   Maybe he’s rethinking that; letting CMC go may be his worst.   

McCaffrey, often referred to as the NFL’s best non-QB player and star is the real deal, folks.  Stanford boy, runner up for the Heisman, and now going to the Super Bowl; and then to…wait for it… Disneyland. 

Whatever the case, Super Bowl ticket prices are stratospheric.  No inflation here. 

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Can’t wait for the prop bet on how many times Taylor Swift will be shown on camera.   

Eerily, the last time the Chiefs and 49ers met in the Super Bowl was February 2020,  just a few weeks before COVID broke out in the United States.  Yikes!

Go Niners!

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