Tag Archives: Italy

The Future of the Euro

(click here if chart is not observable)             Source: Gavyn Davies,  FT

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Draghi: Where’s the Beef?

ECB President, Mario Draghi, gave his first official speech outside the Eurozone’s  central bank and asked EU policymakers “where is the implementation” of past decisions to beef up the EFSF.    The ECB is in a difficult position and has to … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Debt Diets & Riots: Euro Lose/Lose?

Here’s an interesting take on the euro crisis from Russia Today.   BTW, hearing rumors that Germany is kicking around a Eurobond type structure, which skirts their constitutional constraints on increased lending to the ‘zone.  Just rumors. (click here if … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The Biggest Bubble in History?

We are baffled by the analysis of the analyst community, some, of which, are not so analytical.  They say that  Europe’s fundamental problem is that it  has a central bank which is unwilling to monetize sizeable debt maturities which bondholders … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Euro, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , , , , , , , | 17 Comments

The Full Monti

This is it.  We’re expecting a nice year-end relief rally on the back of the the positive political developments and rise of the technocrats in Italy an Greece.   A vote of confidence from the ECB could really give the rally … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Enter The Other Super Mario?

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Daniel Gros: Italy Holds the Key to the Survival of the Euro

“For more insight euronews spoke to Daniel Gros, director of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels. Mr Gros, Italy’s bond yields have reached a level that makes refinancing the country’s debt pactically impossible. What happens next? Will reform … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Global Stock Performance, Global Trend Indicators | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Economist: Italy to determine euro’s survival – or destruction

When the world’s third-largest bond market begins to buckle, catastrophe looms. At stake is not just the Italian economy but Spain, Portugal, Ireland, the euro, the European Union’s single market, the global banking system, the world economy, and pretty much … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

The ECB Show

It all comes down to this.  Will the ECB provide the exit bid for those fleeing Italian bonds and, more importantly, will their action instill enough confidence to allow Italy to roll over existing maturities?  If it doesn’t bring back … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Exit Berlusconi

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in PIIGS, Politics | Tagged , | Leave a comment