Here comes a $40 handle on crude!

1. Why good forecasters become better people – FT
    To make predictions, keep an open mind and understand what you don’t know
2. Trump, Xi Signal Readiness for Trade Talks Ahead of G-20 Meeting – Bloomberg
3. The assassination that could’ve sparked World War III – Wash Post
   JFK was almost assassinated during the Cuban missile crisis
4. Recalculating GDP for the Facebook age – FT
   The true impact of social media? Economists have a different angle
5. Book Review:  MacArthur’s narcissistic failures on the battlefield of the Korean War – Wash Post
6. 10 things we learned from the midterms – The Hill
7. In Race for Global Power, U.S. and China Push Nations to Pick a Side – NY Times
8. Tax Cuts and Spending Will Be the Next Crisis Defense, OECD Says – Bloomberg
9. Italy May Be ‘Sleepwalking Into Instability,’ E.U. Says, and Weighs Penalty – NY Times
10. Beyond the AI Arms Race – Foreign Affairs
    America, China, and the Dangers of Zero-Sum Thinking

The Thucydides Trap