Category Archives: Black Swan Watch

Charile Rose: The Economist on EU Debt Deal

Posted on October 31, 2011 by macromon

Excellent Charlie Rose roundtable on the global economy with Zanny Minton Beddoes, Editor, The Economist, Greg Ip US Economics Editor The Economist and John Micklethwait Editor-in-Chief The Economist.  This is a must see for any interested in the recent EU … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Euro Fracture: “Matters are turning serious” in Italy

Posted on October 31, 2011 by macromon

It you’re looking for some Euro gloom, go no further than Ambrose Evans-Pritchard’s latest, Italy, Europe, and Red Brigade terror.   He writes that Italy risks an outbreak of terrorism if the labor market reform is rushed as the EU … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

M.F. Euro Takes Down Equities

Posted on October 31, 2011 by macromon

Lots of debate out there what took the market down today.  We’re not certain you can tag the first 15 S&P points on a single factor — MF Global, euro,  Italy, yen intervention and strong dollar, or simple profit taking … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Dollar, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Rehn: Tackling sovereign debt ‘first priority’

Posted on October 31, 2011 by macromon

Here’s an Euronews interview with one of  the EU’s top debt crisis policymakers.: Olli Rehn is the European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs, a key role in defining strategy against the back-drop of the debt crisis. The latest proposal … Continue reading →

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Merkel: euro crisis can’t be solved overnight

Posted on October 30, 2011 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Greece Private Bondholders to Reduce Claims by 50%

Posted on October 26, 2011 by macromon

The FT reports, European leaders reached a deal with Greek debtholders on Thursday morning that would see private investors take a 50 per cent cut in the face value of their bonds, a deep haircut that officials believe will reduce … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Equities, Euro | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The Creeping and Coming Eurozone Credit Crunch

Posted on October 26, 2011 by macromon

Here’s a very informative chart via Morgan Stanley showing the deterioration in the Eurozone’s key credit indicators.  Banks will no doubt sell assets, at least in part, as a way to meet their required capital targets. During the 1997 Asian … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Credit, Economics, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Euros Playing w/ Fire

Posted on October 25, 2011 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The Pain in Spain – 3.302% 6-month Bills

Posted on October 25, 2011 by macromon

The NY Times reports, The Treasury said in Madrid that it had sold bills valued at €3.48 billion, or $4.9 billion, of short-term paper — substantially all of the €3.5 billion it had been targeting. It sold three-month securities priced … Continue reading →

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Ray Dalio’s Must Read FT Opinion Piece

Posted on October 24, 2011 by macromon

After last week’s  excellent interview with Charlie Rose,  Ray Dalio of Bridgewater,  the world’s largest hedge fund, follows up with a great piece in today’s Financial Times, “Risk on the rise as political leaders give in to mob rule.” He … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Politics, Whales | Tagged , , | 1 Comment