Category Archives: Black Swan Watch

Takin’ It to the Greek Streets

The future of Euro is going to be determined by the Greek street in the next few weeks and how they react to the new austerity measures.   G-Pap has his work cut out convincing the population the pain is … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Italy Reeling After Downgrade

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Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Why Italy Matters

Standard and Poor’s  just announced they’ve downgraded Italy’s credit rating to A from A+, with a negative outlook.   Italy is the camel that will break Europe’s back if they can’t contain the crisis to the smaller countries of the periphery.  … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

Merkel Fading

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Robert Prechter: “Junk bond prices are going to go to zero.”

His predictions, advice and timing have always been tough to act and trade on and, like all of us, is wrong a lot.  But here’s the latest to feed your inner macro bear.  Roarrrrr!! (click here if video is not … Continue reading

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EcoFin Meets in Poland

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Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Assessing the Risks of French Banks

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Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Buying the Moody Blues…

Classic sell the rumor, buy the fact trading action.  Within an hour after Moody’s downgrade of the French banks almost all the major global equity indices have turned up.   S&P futures were down almost 16 points and are now down … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Global Stock Performance, Global Trend Indicators, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Europeans spooked by spectre of Greek default – Euronews

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The Current State of the Market in a Sea of Volatility

The picture below really captures the volatility of the current market and how traders must remain detached like the Coast Guard cutter closely monitoring how the ship (market) is listing.  When too many are standing on one side of the … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Global Stock Performance, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments