Category Archives: Black Swan Watch

Europe’s New “Iron Curtain”

Posted on July 9, 2012 by macromon

Today’s must read Reuters piece raises the spectre of a Europe “fragmenting faster than policymakers can repair it.”   Paul Taylor, the author, warns The leaders agreed that the euro zone’s permanent bailout fund, the 500 billion euro ($620 billion) … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Geopolitical, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Inside the EU Summit

Posted on June 30, 2012 by macromon

Fascinating piece over at Spiegel Online about what went on at the EU Summit Thursday night and Friday morning.  Not so sure this contributes to the long-term political stability of Europe and is sure to generate local political blowback in … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Germany, PIIGS | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

“Next Year We’ll Be Watching America” – Jim Rogers

Posted on June 29, 2012 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Euros Save the Day, But NIKE Takes Nasty Headbutt

Posted on June 29, 2012 by macromon

Was it really that much of a surprise to move the Dow 400 points off yesterday’s low?   Nope. Though we remain concerned about a “terminal” Euro, here’s our commentary from Weekly Eurozone Watch last week, Post Greek election and rumors … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

EU leaders gather to solve debilitating debt crisis

Posted on June 28, 2012 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

France Debates a “More Federal Europe”

Posted on June 28, 2012 by macromon

The debate in Europe has finally crystallized into the the one point that matters.   How much sovereignty is each country willing to cede to a German led “Federal Europe.”   The following discussion on France 24 is very enlightening in … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Germany, Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Germany, France, Italy and Spain meet ahead of summit

Posted on June 26, 2012 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments

Collapse of Euro a “Very Likely Scenario” – Spiegel

Posted on June 26, 2012 by macromon

We posted yesterday that the Germans are starting to think out loud about the breakup of the Euro.  Here’s an excerpt and chart on the economic aftermath of a Eurozone split from the Der Spiegel piece, Collapse of Currency a … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Greece Creates 70K Government Jobs While Promising Cuts

Posted on June 25, 2012 by macromon

How will Greece’s official creditors react? (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Germany, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Just Another Panic Monday in Euroland

Posted on June 25, 2012 by macromon

Last week’s rally in Euroland was short lived with today’s big sell-off (see charts below).  The political tensions are coming to the surface and markets don’t like want they see and don’t see a positive outcome. As the Germans think … Continue reading →

Posted in Banking, Black Swan Watch, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 2 Comments