Category Archives: PIIGS

Happy St. Patrick’s (Maweyn Succat) Day!

In case you’re wondering,  Maweyn Succat was St. Patrick’s real name and he wasn’t even Irish!.   Click here for some great background and history of St. Patrick’s Day. Go Paddy, Rory, Graeme, and Darren! Happy St. Patrick’s Day!  Not … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, General Interest, Picture of the Day, PIIGS | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Euro Fracture: Cradle of Civilization Headed for Revolution?

Interesting interview with British MEP, Paul Nuttal.    He worries about political instability spreading in the Eurozone and raises the notion of a harder euro for the northern countries. We believe the best case, at the end of the day,  … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Leave a comment

Greece CDS Exposure

Nice chart from Ambrose Evans-Pritchard’s Telegraph piece.   One would expect a relatively small first order effect if Greek CDS’ are triggered.   The second order effects,  such as contagion and the ding to market confidence are much more difficult to quantify … Continue reading

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Greek debt swap deadline looms

This is one of the biggest risks to the markets. Things could get ugly and if it falls apart due to an abundance of free riders and/or too many vultures holding out for full payment,  head for the bunker.   Stay … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Hedge Funds, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Video | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Euro banks tap LTRO2

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Monetary Policy, PIIGS | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Quote of the Day: The New Americans of Europe

Here’s the pretext for our QOTD, The German parliament is set to approve a new multibillion euro bailout package for Greece on Monday, but instead of thanks, southern Europeans are expressing their dislike of us. Germans will have to get … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Quotes, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

IMF Still Sees Risk in Greece

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Greek bond swap brings new downgrades

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Euro Fracture: Greeks Urged to Boycott German Products

Keep this on your radar.   Ugly politics heighten deal risk. (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Geopolitical, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Greek Credit Writedown! Finally…

The just announced 2GB — Second Greece Bailout — is a misnomer.   We wouldn’t exactly call a deal where private creditors reschedule all maturing bond payments for the next ten or so years into a 30-year bullet with a 50+ … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment