Category Archives: Sovereign Risk

Interview: Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

The EU’s Camouflaged Bazooka?

Many were disappointed that the EU Summit didn’t conclude with a hard number backstop for the ‘zone’s sovereign debt rolling over next year.   We believe if you scratch the surface the bazooka is there. The EU President, Herman Van Rompuy, … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments

Europe Needs An Iron Lady

As Europe “goes wobbly” they could use an Iron Lady. (click here if video is not not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, General Interest, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

The Genesis of the Euro

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Say It Ain’t So, Mario!

Very unfortunate timing of today’s ECB meeting as Mario Draghi poured cold water on providing a backstop for the distressed Eurozone countries.  It’s kind of like holding a press conference before playing a hand in a high stakes poker game.  … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

EU Leaders on the Hot Seat

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Curbing Our Enthusiasm, Increasing Our Bet…

Moving closer to the EU Summit we are are curbing our enthusiasm and expectations of the substance of the deal but increasing our bet that it will be just enough to unleash the balance sheet of the ECB to backstop … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

The European Troika to Watch

The “troika” – Italian, Spanish, and French bond yields –  is acting pretty well even after the S&P downgrade.  Italy is under 6 percent and that is what matters.   We sense there will be tremendous pressure on the shorts and … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

S&P500 Finding Resistance @ 200-day

Looked like today could be the day the S&P500 broke through and closed above its 200-day.  That is, before the tape bomb out of the S&P putting most of the ‘Zone countries on negative watch for a credit downgrade.  Let’s … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment

The Four Horsemen of the Europocalypse

Great ‘toon from the  Economist which we hope motivates the Eurocrats to get something done.   The U.S., U.K, and Japan should not be so smug and take warning as the Four Horsemen of the debt apocalypse will be coming their … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment