Category Archives: Sovereign Risk

IMF Still Sees Risk in Greece

(click here if video is not observable)

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Greek bond swap brings new downgrades

(click here if video is not observable)

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Euro Fracture: Greeks Urged to Boycott German Products

Keep this on your radar.   Ugly politics heighten deal risk. (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Geopolitical, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Greek Credit Writedown! Finally…

The just announced 2GB — Second Greece Bailout — is a misnomer.   We wouldn’t exactly call a deal where private creditors reschedule all maturing bond payments for the next ten or so years into a 30-year bullet with a 50+ … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment

No Yen for the Yen….

We’re sure you’ve noticed the Yen’s swan dive against the U.S. dollar.  Last week’s monetary measures by the Bank of Japan in the global “race to debase” gave it an added kick, The Bank increases the total size of the … Continue reading

Posted in Japan, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Euro Fracture: Reform Fatigue Increasing

Political backlash and reform fatigue are Europe’s biggest risk over the medium-term, in our opinion,  and need to be monitored closely.  Politicians have yet to convince many of their constituents of TINA – There Is No Alternative. (click here if … Continue reading

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Monti taps the Church

If the Monti is successful in reforming Italy, maybe he will be made Pope! (click here if video is not observable)

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Is the Fed ready for the bond market’s Arab Spring?

We’ve updated our database of the Federal Reserve’s ownership of the U.S. Treasury coupon curve.  The resulting chart highlights a couple of interesting issues about its structure and holdings of outstanding notes and bonds. First, though nothing new, it shows … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

The Greek Tragedy

(click here if video is not observable)

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Spain facing fine over manipulating deficit data

We’re shocked, shocked to find out that governments manipulate their economic data.   Not! (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment