Tag Archives: Budget Deficit

U.S. Treasury Borrowing & QE Forever

Posted on January 13, 2020 by

The U.S. Treasury recently released the December monthly statement, which put us to work crunching the data.  Note the Treasury is on an October-September fiscal year.  We are using calendar years in our analysis. Federal Borrowing From The Public The … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Fed, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Spain facing fine over manipulating deficit data

Posted on February 14, 2012 by

We’re shocked, shocked to find out that governments manipulate their economic data.   Not! (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

10-year Spike: 70 Bps, 14 days

Posted on December 14, 2010 by

The rapidity of the spike in long-term Treasury rates  is starting to raise some eyebrows. The yield on the 10-year bond has increased 70 bps in just 14 days. We have identified thirteen similar moves, where rates initially spiked 70 … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

US Budget Deficit 9th Largest Economy in the World

Posted on October 26, 2010 by

After falling to a low of 2.33 percent on October 8th, the 10-day Treasury has sold-off closing today at a yield of 2.64 percent.  The recent high is around 2.83 percent, which we will be watching closely. To get a … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Equities, Geopolitical, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy | Tagged , , | 1 Comment