Tag Archives: dollar

BFTP: How Sustainable Is Earnings Growth?

BFTP: Blast From The Past We posted the following last May when earnings and the market were all lathered up and on a sugar high induced by the corporate tax cut and weaker dollar in 2017.  Our lack of confidence … Continue reading

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BFTP: How to Become a Trillionaire And Other Thoughts

BTFP:  Blast From The Past Time to repost our piece from January 2017, almost two weeks before the Trump administration took power. We hit the big topics back then which are now making headlines today:  1)  Modern Monetary Theory;  2)  … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Fiscal Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

We Have Lift Off! (in the $)

  Can’t believe that was fiddy years past.  Going to see the new Apollo 11 flick on Saturday with my 15-year old daughter, who wants to be an astrophysicist. Back to biz… The Dixie – “To the Moon, Alice” Another … Continue reading

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Ten Good Weekend Reads

Haven dollar touches 1½-year high as global growth worries dominate trading – MarketWatch Conte Says His Budget Deficit Offer Is the Best Italy Can Do – Bloomberg The Fed’s Critical Role for 2019 – Barron’s Business debt swells to $9 … Continue reading

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How Sustainable Is Earnings Growth?

Not very. We will leave the calculation for the entire stock market to the stock analysts. Here’s why: Just glancing over WalMart’s latest earnings release from the week, we see two one-off macro factors that helped WalMart’s earnings in Q1, … Continue reading

Posted in Dollar, Earnings, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 62 Comments

Why the dollar is weak – FT

Authers dishes on the weak dollar. You know our suspicions (and just that – suspicions – as nobody really knows with certainty), which should negate some of this morning’s reversal on the president’s comments that sent shorts scrambling. Unless that … Continue reading

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Dangerous Gambit Out Of Davos

We woke to a comment out of Davos that surprised both us and the market. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, broke from tradition and welcomed a weaker dollar. “Obviously a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Dollar, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 14 Comments

Making The World Great Again

Maybe President Trump should not read this but last year was all about “Making The World Great Again.” Financial Markets As the data and graphs illustrate below, the U.S. stock market was in the bottom quintile of performance in dollar … Continue reading

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Almost All World’s Currencies Undervalued

We’ve put together a couple of tables showing the undervaluation of the world’s currencies based on their 2016 purchasing power parity against the U.S. dollar. The Purchasing-power-parity (PPP) between two countries is the rate at which the currency of one … Continue reading

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How Are Those “Crowded Trades” Doing?

We take a look here at what BofA/Merrill Lynch has surveyed as the “most crowded trades” in the market.  Most are taking on water as the crowd is leaning to the same side of the boat. Big losses for Japanese … Continue reading

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