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In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
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Tag Archives: Committee To Save The World
About That Inverted Yield Curve, Coming Recession, and Repopocalypse
Why did yield curve inversion fail as recession predictor in 2019? (i) QE1, QE2, QE3, Operation Twist 1.0 & 2.0, forward guidance mean inversion signal is not what it once was; (ii) US-China tariff headlines drove inversion, economic fall-out from … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Fed, Uncategorized
Tagged Committee To Save The World, Yield Curve inversion
2 Comments
The Perversion Of The Yield Curve Inversion
We should be on vacation but it never fails that volatility spikes as soon as we leave our desk. It must be the Ides Of August. Wait, it is. Et tu Brutal! Nevertheless, we can’t help ourselves and have to … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Fed, Uncategorized
Tagged Committee To Save The World, Yield Curve inversion
3 Comments