Tag Archives: Portugal

Real Pain in the Eurozone

(click here if video is not observable)

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Weekly Eurozone Watch: Bund Yield +25 bps, Tighter PIG

Wow!   When was the last time Portugal, Italy, and Greece sovereign spreads tightened this much in one week?  Spain remains a concern, however,  widening 10 bps on the week even as the Bund yield increased over 25 bps.    Banks … Continue reading

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Weekly Eurozone Watch

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Weekly Eurozone Watch

Q:  How does the market respond to all the doubts and scepticism about the second Greece bailout?   A:  They tighten Italian and Spanish spreads and take the Euro higher, although Portugal did widen on the week. We’ve learned a very important … Continue reading

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Weekly Eurozone Watch

(click here if charts are not observable)

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2012: Sovereign Risk Compression

Great data from Bespoke.  Looks like Portugal is the odd man out as the only government in which its CDS spreads have widened this year. (click here if table is not observable)

Posted in Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Weekly Eurozone Watch: Portugal Tighter, France < 100 bps

(click here if charts are not observable)

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Global Markets: One Large Complex Adaptive System

We once read somewhere that there are 10 to the 180th power possible paths to checkmate in a game of chess.   Similarly,  the global markets are one large complex adaptive system and almost impossible to project their short-term macro … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Dollar, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, German Bund, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Sovereign Debt Hygienics

Interesting calculations posted by Spiegel from the Kiel Institute on the sovereign haircuts which would make the debt of the listed countries sustainable.   We would love to see the calculations for the U.S., U.K., and Japan. (click here if charts … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Italian Yields, PIIGS, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

The Biggest Bubble in History?

We are baffled by the analysis of the analyst community, some, of which, are not so analytical.  They say that  Europe’s fundamental problem is that it  has a central bank which is unwilling to monetize sizeable debt maturities which bondholders … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Euro, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , , , , , , , | 17 Comments