Bearish Bonds
- Jobs Report Impact: October’s weaker jobs report initially pushed yields down, hinting at possible accelerated Fed rate cuts, before a quick rebound.
- Political Influence: Anticipated election outcomes, including potential stimulus under a new administration, could reintroduce inflationary pressures, potentially raising yields.
- Fed Rate Expectations: Markets expect quarter-point Fed rate cuts in November and December, with a potential pause by early next year.
- Treasury Auctions: Large-scale auctions for three-year, 10-year, and 30-year notes next week may pressure yields further amid heightened volatility.
- Market Volatility: Bond market volatility is at its highest this year, with hedging activity spiking due to election and Fed-related uncertainties.





