Category Archives: Crude Oil

Have Policymakers Discovered the “Splendid Arbitrage”?

Posted on June 26, 2011 by macromon

How ’bout a little summer Sunday humor (albeit a little nerdy) before getting back to the daily grind.   Last week saw a global coordinated response to shaft specs in crude oil as many, including us, think the rise in … Continue reading →

Posted in Commodities, Crude Oil, General Interest, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

McSwan Watch: Soros – China Risks ‘Hard Landing’

Posted on June 15, 2011 by macromon

George Soros was on the tape warning China is losing its grip on inflation.  Bloomberg reports, China has missed its opportunity to stem inflation and may now risk a hard landing, billionaire investor George Soros said. The world’s second-largest economy … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, China, Commodities, Crude Oil | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Components of the Gasoline Price

Posted on May 12, 2011 by macromon

Here are some great gasoline charts.   Some are updates of earlier posts and some new. RBOB is down about 10 percent in the past week and were not filling our tanks as we wait for it to show up at … Continue reading →

Posted in Charts, Commodities, Crude Oil | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Did Trichet Hear the PIGs Squealing?

Posted on May 5, 2011 by macromon

Wow, what a swan dive!  The Euro fell a rare five handles and 3 percent against the dollar in just twenty-four hours as ECB President,  Jean-Claude Trichet, seemed to back away from his previous hawkish rhetoric at the Bank’s press … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Commodities, Crude Oil, Currency, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Charts of the Day: Asian Credit Bubble?

Posted on May 3, 2011 by macromon

Great chart from Deustche Bank of Asian home prices indexed to Jan’07.   It’s becoming increasingly clear, at least to us, that a big part of Asia is in massive credit/asset bubble and as monetary tightening plays out their day of … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, China, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Currency | Tagged , | Leave a comment

10 Questions for Chairman Bernanke

Posted on April 26, 2011 by macromon

If we were attending the Fed’s historic press conference tomorrow,  here are the ten questions we would ask Chairman Bernanke: 1)  Do you think the new monetary policy tool of the Federal Reserve of paying interest on reserves (IOR) is … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Currency, Food Prices, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Chart of the Day: History of U.S. Energy Consumption

Posted on March 24, 2011 by macromon

At today’s closing prices, crude oil is now trading more than 4x its BTU energy equivalent price relative to natural gas.  If sustained,  which we have our doubts,  it will interesting to see how this chart develops over the next … Continue reading →

Posted in Chart of the Day, Commodities, Crude Oil, Energy | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Chart of the Day: QE2 and the Bernanke Curve?

Posted on March 17, 2011 by macromon

Sure there are fundamental reasons or a story for why commodity prices are moving higher, but let’s see what happens, especially to food and energy,  when if the Fed concludes quantitative easing and long-term yields spike.    Negative real interest rates … Continue reading →

Posted in Chart of the Day, Commodities, Crude Oil, Currency, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Policy | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Natural Gas Stocks Pop in Down Market

Posted on March 16, 2011 by macromon

Some natural gas stocks did well in today’s terrible tape.  Two that we are watching and are long are Ultra Petroleum (UPL) and Southwestern Energy (SWN).  Both have been consolidating and have recently cleared their 50-day moving averages. Southwestern pierced … Continue reading →

Posted in Charts, Commodities, Crude Oil, Equities | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Nattie’s Day Has Come

Posted on March 15, 2011 by macromon

The ugly bear market in natural gas may be about to end, in our opinion.  The nuclear crisis in Japan will force policymakers to look for alternative energy sources for electricity generation and natural gas is set up perfectly. Natural … Continue reading →

Posted in Charts, Commodities, Crude Oil, Energy, Japan | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments