Tag Archives: FOMC

BFTP: The Biggest Risk At The Fed

Posted on April 3, 2019 by macromon

BFTP = Blast From The Past It’s now been more than a year since this post.   We can’t take a victory lap on such nonsense but we will say, “we told you so.”   The consequences are gonna be … Continue reading →

Posted in Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

FOMC: Bid Adieu to QT

Posted on March 20, 2019 by macromon

Just our quick take on today’s Fed. The major takeaway from today’s FOMC announcement is the end of QT in September with the cap moving down to $15 billion in the SOMA Treasury portfolio in May. The Committee intends to … Continue reading →

Posted in Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

The Biggest Risk At The Fed

Posted on March 21, 2018 by macromon

It is FOMC day, and the committee just raised the Fed Funds rate another 25 bps. Well, actually, they increased the interest rate on excess reserves (IOER) by 25 bps to target a higher Fed Funds rate.   That is an additional … Continue reading →

Posted in Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

FOMC Dot Plot & Other Data – March 21

Posted on March 21, 2018 by macromon
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FOMC: A Big Double Cheese Non-Burger

Posted on September 20, 2017 by macromon

Monetary policy history made today. The  Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)  confirmed it would begin its long-awaited quantitative tightening (QT). In October, the Committee will initiate the balance sheet normalization program described in the June 2017 Addendum to the Committee’s … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Fed, German Bund, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Fed Day With Extremely Loose Financial Conditions

Posted on September 20, 2017 by macromon

Today is the day,  folks. The consensus is the Fed announces the start of quantitative tightening (QT).   History in the making. Draining Liquidity Though monetary tightening officially began in December 2015,  this will be the first time the Fed drains … Continue reading →

Posted in ECB, Economics, Equities, Euro, Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Debate Within The FOMC: Bubblistas v. Efficient Marketistas?

Posted on August 22, 2017 by macromon

We have finally made the time to more closely review the release of last week’s Fed minutes from the July 25-26 meeting.   We kind of like what we see. Debate Breaking Out Among FOMC Members? A debate appears to breaking … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 16 Comments

Dollar Index Spanked After FOMC – Nears Key Support

Posted on July 26, 2017 by macromon

The Dollar Index was spanked today after what the market percieved as a dovish FOMC statement.    Kind of odd as early inflation indicators starting to pick up. We were expecting a short-term rally as everyone is long the euro/dollar pair, … Continue reading →

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Chart of the Day: Operation Twisted Yield Curve

Posted on December 12, 2012 by macromon

Interesting chart from Bloomberg on how the Fed’s treasury holdings have changed under operation twist, or more formally, the Maturity Extension Program and Reinvestment Policy. After the end of the month no more selling of the short end to buy … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Chart of the Day, Economics, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Cue FED

Posted on December 11, 2012 by macromon

Here’s some interesting data the Fed is surely looking at. The monetary base has been flat lining since the end of QE2 —  i.e., the balance sheet growth of the Federal Reserve has not been above long-term growth.  May explain … Continue reading →

Posted in Gold, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments