Category Archives: Eurozone Sovereign Spreads

French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Notice on the chart the Oat-Bund spread coming in 25 bps in past week.  We are buyers of a French dip.  See here and here. An apparent threat by far-right leader Marine le Pen to punish state employees who “persecute” … Continue reading

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Trump & Le Pen compared in 90 seconds – FT

Gideon Rachman, the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator, compares the movements behind US president Donald Trump and French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen – in 90 seconds. ► Subscribe to the Financial Times on YouTube: http://bit.ly/FTimeSubs  

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

To assess Ms Le Pen’s chance of victory, The Economist has compiled current and historic French presidential polls, and used them to build a statistical prediction model. We find that if the first round were held today, Ms Le Pen … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

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European bonds suffer from uncertainty – FT

Keep some powder dry to buy the French Dip.    That is,  the market panic over the  Euro elections,  if there is one. The French will hold the populist “Maginot Line” and Le Pen will lose in the second round, “bigly“.  … Continue reading

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Tremors in the Eurozone (Again)

The France OAT-German Bund 10-year blew out another 12 bps today.  This is off our charts going back to December 2012.   The FT reports, “Markets underpriced the political risks in 2016 and they are determined not to do the … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Starting to get interesting.   The French 10-year Oat- German 10-year bund spread widened and closed at its highest level since January 2014 on Friday.  Francois Fillon has dropped like a stone in the past few weeks as the political scandal … Continue reading

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Watch This Space: Oat-Bund Spread

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Italian PM to quit after voters reject his constitutional reforms – EuroNews

Published on Dec 4, 2016 Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is to resign following a heavy defeat in Sunday’s constitutional reform referendum. Although ostensibly on plans to streamline parliament the poll was largely seen as a confidence vote in the … Continue reading

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Week Ahead — Brexit outlook, Nike results – FT

Fallout from Brexit, results for athletic clothing maker Nike and voting for Australia’s national election. Seb Morton-Clark takes a look at some of the top stories for the coming week. ► Subscribe to the Financial Times on YouTube: http://bit.ly/FTimeSubs (click … Continue reading

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