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Category Archives: Eurozone Sovereign Spreads
French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread
Notice on the chart the Oat-Bund spread coming in 25 bps in past week. We are buyers of a French dip. See here and here. An apparent threat by far-right leader Marine le Pen to punish state employees who “persecute” … Continue reading
Posted in Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, France, Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged French elections, Le Pen, Macron, Oat-Bund Spread
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Trump & Le Pen compared in 90 seconds – FT
Gideon Rachman, the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator, compares the movements behind US president Donald Trump and French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen – in 90 seconds. ► Subscribe to the Financial Times on YouTube: http://bit.ly/FTimeSubs
Posted in Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, France, Politics
Tagged FT, Gideon Rachman, Le Pen, Trump
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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread
To assess Ms Le Pen’s chance of victory, The Economist has compiled current and historic French presidential polls, and used them to build a statistical prediction model. We find that if the first round were held today, Ms Le Pen … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Politics
Tagged 10-year Oat Bund spread, France Elections
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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread
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Posted in Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged France Elections, Oat-Bund Spread
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European bonds suffer from uncertainty – FT
Keep some powder dry to buy the French Dip. That is, the market panic over the Euro elections, if there is one. The French will hold the populist “Maginot Line” and Le Pen will lose in the second round, “bigly“. … Continue reading
Posted in Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Politics, Sovereign Risk, Uncategorized
Tagged European elections, France, Germany, Netherlands
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Tremors in the Eurozone (Again)
The France OAT-German Bund 10-year blew out another 12 bps today. This is off our charts going back to December 2012. The FT reports, “Markets underpriced the political risks in 2016 and they are determined not to do the … Continue reading
French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread
Starting to get interesting. The French 10-year Oat- German 10-year bund spread widened and closed at its highest level since January 2014 on Friday. Francois Fillon has dropped like a stone in the past few weeks as the political scandal … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, France, Uncategorized
Tagged France Elections, France Sovereign Spreads
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Watch This Space: Oat-Bund Spread
Posted in Bonds, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Uncategorized
Tagged France, Germany, Oat-Bund Spread
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Italian PM to quit after voters reject his constitutional reforms – EuroNews
Published on Dec 4, 2016 Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is to resign following a heavy defeat in Sunday’s constitutional reform referendum. Although ostensibly on plans to streamline parliament the poll was largely seen as a confidence vote in the … Continue reading
Posted in Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Geopolitical, Italian Yields, Italy
Tagged Italian Referendum, Matteo Renzi
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Week Ahead — Brexit outlook, Nike results – FT
Fallout from Brexit, results for athletic clothing maker Nike and voting for Australia’s national election. Seb Morton-Clark takes a look at some of the top stories for the coming week. ► Subscribe to the Financial Times on YouTube: http://bit.ly/FTimeSubs (click … Continue reading
Posted in Banking, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Fed
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