Category Archives: Sovereign Debt

Greece’s Brady Plan, Finally

Posted on July 21, 2011 by macromon

The International Institute of Finance, a consortium of the largest global banks,  just released a  term sheet for a Brady-type Plan for Greece. The menu of options include Par and Discount Bonds, with principal collateral,  and a buyback option.  The … Continue reading →

Posted in Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment

European Banks Rockin’………….

Posted on July 21, 2011 by macromon

Take a look at Germany’s Commerzbank and Barclays of the UK.   Both of their U.S. ADRs are up around 10 percent today.    Optimism over a Marshall Plan for Greece is helping the European banks and the Euro today.  The … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Chart of the Day: Ireland’s Silent Bank Run

Posted on July 20, 2011 by macromon

We found this great chart posted over at New N Economics by Rebecca Wilder.  She points out the non-financial corporates have been fleeing Irish banks since 2007 and households 2010 to the tune of 14 percent of GDP.    Irish … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Sovereign Debt and Geriatric Deadbeats

Posted on July 18, 2011 by macromon

In the spirit of our earlier post, The Clash of Generations, we point you to an interesting piece, Geiatric Deadbeats, written by Ali Alichi of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).   He argues the age of a country’s population is inversely … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Demographics, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Nowhere to Hide…

Posted on July 16, 2011 by macromon

Larry Summers understands the risks the game Congress is playing with on lifting the debt ceiling.   Bloomberg writes, Summers said a potential default makes him worry about “runs on banks, runs on money market funds,” exchanges facing “the prospect … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Bank Exposure to Domestic Sovereigns

Posted on July 11, 2011 by macromon

Here at the Global Macro Monitor we perceive a rapidly changing financial landscape.  The concept of risk-free is being redefined as we write and analysts are now forced to look at the systemic risk caused by a banking system’s exposure … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Quote of the Day: Brussels, We Have a Problem

Posted on July 11, 2011 by macromon

According to current banking regulations, sovereign credits are considered “risk-free.”   This means that banks can take on as much sovereign credit risk as they like without setting aside any capital.  Under such a structure, selling short CDS protection is akin … Continue reading →

Posted in PIIGS, Policy, Quote of the Day, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

When Apple Leads….

Posted on July 7, 2011 by macromon

Apple is up almost 15 percent off  the June 20th low of 310 and leading the overall market higher.  This is the stock’s best move since last September.  We’ve posted several pieces on Apple’s market leadership (click here).  With no … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Black Swan Watch, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Charts, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Aminio Fraga on Charlie Rose

Posted on July 1, 2011 by macromon

Great interview with our old friend and colleague Arminio Fraga,  former head of Brazil’s central bank,  Soros hedge fund manager, and now head of Gavea Investments.   Arminio is a Princeton Ph.D. economist, understands markets,  and an expert on Brazil’s economist. … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, General Interest, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Why Europe Can’t Afford a Greek Haircut

Posted on June 29, 2011 by macromon

If a picture is worth a thousand words, the following chart from the IMF encapsulates all the analysis one needs to understand why Mr. Trichet and the rest of the Eurozone bureaucracy are so adamant about not letting Greece restructure … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments