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Category Archives: Uncategorized
Opportunistic Alpha Housekeeping
If you haven’t noticed, we have been posting specific trade ideas with entry points, target prices, and stops. These are not recommendations but a vehicle so that our readers can hold us more accountable for our ideas, and to also … Continue reading
Posted in Trades, Uncategorized
Tagged Brazil Country ETF, China Country ETF, Global Marco Monitor, Opportunistic Alpha
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Selling China ETF
Selling the China EFT, ASHR, into the close at $22.46 (corrected from earlier price $22.65 typo see here) for a 1.17 percent return. Not happy with the price action and having doubts that the low-level sherpas in Beijing can move … Continue reading
Fed Balance Sheet Run-Off Is Smaller Than Caps
We’re not sure if we heard Chairman Powell clarify the total balance sheet run-off for 2019, which is important as the pundits are throwing around a number a $600 billion reduction. Completely false. We project the total run-off in 2019 … Continue reading
Posted in Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized
Tagged 2019 Reduction, Fed Balance Sheet, Run-off
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Zero Credibility Government
Listen to this nonsense. Sarah gets a Fox News Facial. Just the facts, ma’am. What a friggin’ joke. "I studied up on this": @FoxNewsSunday fact checks @PressSec on terrorism and border security: pic.twitter.com/2j1edlDbsx — Matt Shuham (@mattshuham) January 6, 2019 … Continue reading
Week In Review – January 4
Summary What a week to start the year. U.S. stocks trading like an emerging market Big money flows into emerging markets, particularly big Latins. Look at move yields and currency U.S. bond yields spiked on Friday as stock shorts, as … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Week in Review
Tagged Biotech, bonds, Brazil Stocks, Commodities, Corn, Currencies, Fed, Performance, Stocks, Week in Review
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2019’s Five Most Mispriced Tail Events
Trump Leaves Office By Year-End There is only one thing Trump likes more than power – money. As his legal troubles grow exponentially in 2019, the president has an epiphany that he could lose all his wealth. He cuts … Continue reading
Posted in Tail Risk, Uncategorized
Tagged 2019 Tail Events, Apple, China, Taiwan, Treasury Bonds, Trump resignation
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Global Risk Monitor – January 4
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global equity markets, Global Risk Monitor, Performance, Stocks
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Ten Good Weekend Reads – January 4
Major themes set to shape markets in 2019 – FT Five Doom Loops to Navigate in 2019 – Bloomberg As China Talks Begin, Trump’s Trade Negotiator Tries to Keep President From Wavering – NY Times Japan in 2019: 10 surprises … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Weekend Reads
Tagged Apple, China, Greg Mankiw, Lumber, Ten Good Weekend Reads, Trade War, Trump
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