Category Archives: Uncategorized

Short-term thinking is politics’ most epic failure | Big Think

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Opportunistic Alpha Housekeeping

If you haven’t noticed, we have been posting specific trade ideas with entry points, target prices, and stops.  These are not recommendations but a vehicle so that our readers can hold us more accountable for our ideas, and to also … Continue reading

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Selling China ETF

Selling the China EFT, ASHR, into the close at $22.46 (corrected from earlier price $22.65 typo see here) for a 1.17 percent return.   Not happy with the price action and having doubts that the low-level sherpas in Beijing can move … Continue reading

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Fed Balance Sheet Run-Off Is Smaller Than Caps

We’re not sure if we heard Chairman Powell clarify the total balance sheet run-off for 2019, which is important as the pundits are throwing around a number a $600 billion reduction.   Completely false. We project the total run-off in 2019 … Continue reading

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Zero Credibility Government

Listen to this nonsense.  Sarah gets a Fox News Facial.  Just the facts, ma’am. What a friggin’ joke. "I studied up on this": @FoxNewsSunday fact checks @PressSec on terrorism and border security: pic.twitter.com/2j1edlDbsx — Matt Shuham (@mattshuham) January 6, 2019 … Continue reading

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Week In Review – January 4

Summary What a week to start the year. U.S. stocks trading like an emerging market Big money flows into emerging markets, particularly big Latins.  Look at move yields and currency U.S. bond yields spiked on Friday as stock shorts, as … Continue reading

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2019’s Five Most Mispriced Tail Events

  Trump Leaves Office By Year-End There is only one thing Trump likes more than power – money.  As his legal troubles grow exponentially in 2019, the president has an epiphany that he could lose all his wealth.  He cuts … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor – January 4

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Sector ETF Performance – January 4

 

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Ten Good Weekend Reads – January 4

Major themes set to shape markets in 2019 – FT Five Doom Loops to Navigate in 2019 – Bloomberg As China Talks Begin, Trump’s Trade Negotiator Tries to Keep President From Wavering – NY Times Japan in 2019: 10 surprises … Continue reading

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