Tag Archives: China

Economist Cover: War Over These?

The new cover story of the Economist.  Gulp! Low probability, high impact event and very unlikely but keep it on your radar. …Amid heated rhetoric on both sides, one Chinese newspaper has helpfully suggested skipping the pointless diplomacy and moving … Continue reading

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Flash China Manufacturing PMI at 47.8, 2-month high

Commenting on the Flash China Manufacturing PMI survey, Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & Co-Head of Asian Economic Research at HSBC said: “China’s manufacturing growth is still slowing, but the pace of slowdown is stabilising. Manufacturing activities remain lacklustre, thanks … Continue reading

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Debt of Honor in the East & South China Seas

We can’t  help but think the Chinese are reading Tom Clancy’s 1994 thriller, Debt of Honor, as we watch their latest tiff with Japan unfold.  Recall China suspended its exports of rare earths to Japan in September 2010 over a similar … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Geopolitical, Japan | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Stratfor: Xi Jinping and China’s Politics

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Slowing global economy turns the heat up in China

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China’s Bad Debt Problem

Reuters out today with a must read piece on China’s deteriorating commercial bank loans to the country’s steel sector, which now has a total debt burden of $400 billion, about the size of South Africa’s economy. Could this be one … Continue reading

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Sweet & Sour Channel Stuffing and the Shanghai Swan Dive

The news out China seems to be getting worse. Last week the NY Times reported about China’s huge inventory build of unsold goods, GUANGZHOU, China — After three decades of torrid growth, China is encountering an unfamiliar problem with its … Continue reading

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Stratfor: Asia’s Balance of Power

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China Flash Manufacturing PMI at 47.8, 9-month low

From today’s Markit release, Commenting on the Flash China Manufacturing PMI survey, Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & Co-Head of Asian Economic Research at HSBC said: “Falling orders dragged down the August flash PMI to a nine-month low, suggesting Chinese … Continue reading

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Stratfor – Tensions Flare in China-Japan Islands Dispute

Wash, rinse, repeat! Remember the rare earth retaliation and panic in 2010?  These tensions and the local anxiety over a more assertive China is the best thing that has happened for U.S. diplomatic relations in Asia in a long time. … Continue reading

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