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Monthly Archives: February 2017
Talking ’bout Mexico – JT
So King David at thinkinthemorning.com sends over an article showing U.S. stocks with revenue exposure to Mexico. Starts us thinking about who is smarter, equity traders or currency traders, who follows who, or who is fooled by randomness? . … Continue reading
Posted in Currency, Equities, Geopolitical, Uncategorized
Tagged Johnson Controls, Kansas City Southern, Mexican Peso, Mexico
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U.S. GDP: The Real Estate Economy
Interesting data that even surprised us. The real estate sector is now the largest sector of U.S. economy. Real estate is a sub-category of the BEA’s industry group, Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing. Could it be one of … Continue reading
The Proposed Border Tax’s Costs Outstrip Its Benefits – PIIE
Published on Feb 7, 2017 Adam S. Posen outlines the potential gains from a proposed corporate tax overhaul but says the costs, especially to lower income groups, outweigh the benefits. .
What Really Keeps Us Up At Night – Do The Math
Lots of these being drawn up by the new U.S. administration. The one that scares us most is this: Mattis: US will defend Japanese islands claimed by China – CNN And today we hear this: China sails warships near islands … Continue reading
Tremors in the Eurozone (Again)
The France OAT-German Bund 10-year blew out another 12 bps today. This is off our charts going back to December 2012. The FT reports, “Markets underpriced the political risks in 2016 and they are determined not to do the … Continue reading
French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread
Starting to get interesting. The French 10-year Oat- German 10-year bund spread widened and closed at its highest level since January 2014 on Friday. Francois Fillon has dropped like a stone in the past few weeks as the political scandal … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, France, Uncategorized
Tagged France Elections, France Sovereign Spreads
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Global Risk Monitor – February 3
Click on table to enlarge and for better resolution
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Equities, Global equity markets, Performance, Stocks
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Tom Brady: The Greatest of All-Time
“When my information changes, I alter my conclusions.” – John Maynard Keynes
Arbitrageurs Already Exploiting Super Bowl Prop Bets
So, I get a text from my friend, Ray N., in San Diego regarding our last post, Ten Strange Super Bowl Prop Bets. The first bet reads: The odds are 19 to one that some fan will troll Brady by … Continue reading
