Yearly Archives: 2017

America-first and the dollar-yen trade – FT

The FT’s Leo Lewis looks at how uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s America First policy affects the dollar-yen currency trade. ► Subscribe to FT.com here: http://on.ft.com/2eZZoLI

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The Transition Trade

Nice chart (hat tip King David over at thinkinthemoring.com) from Wall Street Journal on the return of the Dow Jones after election day to the inauguration of presidents all the way back to McKinley when the Dow index was created. … Continue reading

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Reagan-Trump S&P500 Analog

We continue to track the meaningless (in terms of projecting trajectory)  Reagan-Trump S&P500 analog.  At their respective inaugurations, the Trump S&P is outperforming Reagan by 4.4 percent.  Note, Trump was inaugurated 51 trading days after the election whereas Reagan’s inauguration … Continue reading

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French Oat-German Bund 10-year Spread

Stabilizing at around 50 bps. Who will be elected president of France in 2017? https://t.co/NZvm7HNJXe via @PredictIt_ — Gregor Samsa (@macromon) January 22, 2017

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US Sector ETF Performance – Jan 13

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Global Risk Monitor – January 20

Click on table to enlarge and for better resolution

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You’re Hired!

S0urce:  Economist    

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Obama’s Bull Market

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The Dow of the Inaugural and First 100 Days

We quickly put together a table of the return on the Dow Jones Industrials Average after the first 100 days of presidential administrations,  the return on their Inauguration Day, and the return the day before the inaugural going back to … Continue reading

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Why Money Keeps Flowing Out of China – Bloomberg

Published on Jan 18, 2017 The outflow of Chinese capital hasn’t abated in the last few years, as a weak Yuan and slew of other hindrances perpetuate losses. QuickTake Q&A explains how these pressures continue to take a toll on … Continue reading

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