QOTD: Quote of the Day
Nice pithy quote, which thoroughly encapsulates our narrative of global markets that the major central banks have created a yuuuge shortage of risk-free assets tipping the world economy into a bizarro Twilight Zone, where, now even Petrobras bonds trade with a negative yield. You heard that right, Petrobras, Brazil’s state oil company.
Some speculate the ECB will soon reach its limit of 33% ownership of a single issue and be forced to raise it to 50%, as the German government is reducing the stock of bunds with perennial budget surpluses. Many believe a -2% handle on the bund is in the cards during the next round of QE by the ECB.
Please, don’t ask: What is the bund market telling us?
bunds are “scarce potatoes” – Bond Vigilantes
By the way, Germany and Japan have the world’s oldest populations. Don’t you think reducing the income of retirees through QE may have/had some unintended economic consequences?
It is probably more difficult to turn a 60-year something German conservative investing retiree into a stock jockey than it is retraining a coal miner to become a data scientist. The political blowback against QE in D-land is already evident, and will most likely grow as the country comes under tremendous pressure to implement a massive fiscal stimulus to save the euro zone economy, while receiving -2 percent on their bunds.
It’s getting complicated, folks.