Monthly Archives: July 2024

Kamala [and Josh] Rising

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Monetary Policy Is Not Tight

The Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) is significantly easier than when the Fed started the tightening cycle in March 2022 (see the chart below).  As the market ramps up based on the expectation of a September rate, financial … Continue reading

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Mr. Softee Gets Lost in the Cloud

Microsoft (MSFT) reported its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations on EPS and revenue but falling short of cloud revenue forecasts, notably in its Intelligent Cloud segment. Despite this, overall revenue increased by 15% yearly, with Intelligent Cloud revenue … Continue reading

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Olympic Gold Diggers

“Gold medals aren’t really made of gold. They’re made of sweat, determination, and a hard-to-find alloy called guts.”  — Dan Gable Awesome graphic from the Visual Capitalist.  This year, 10,500 athletes will compete across 329 events to billions of viewers … Continue reading

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German Economy: From Powerhouse to the Punk House

“We can no longer invest in the old, fossil-fuel technology and we don’t yet know in which new technology to invest.” – Martin Gorning, GIER Germany’s inability to generate meaningful growth is casting a shadow over the long-term prospects for the … Continue reading

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Sovereign Distress

…reforms have also augmented fiscal strength and lowered the risk of default. The number of countries with bonds trading at distressed levels had subsequently halved in the space of a year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. – Bloomberg

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COTD: Where The Bad Bonds Are

COTD:  Chart of the Day

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Japan’s Childless Cat Ladies

JD is out of touch…with the world.  We are effectively run…by a bunch of childless cat ladies who are miserable – JD Vance This fertility slump is in many ways the most remarkable trend of our era. – Bloomberg Up … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – July 26

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GDP Comes In Hot

The US economy grew faster than expected last quarter, with GDP rising at a 2.8% annualized rate compared to 1.4% in the previous quarter. This growth was driven by strong consumer demand and business investment, including an outsized increase in … Continue reading

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