Monthly Archives: December 2025

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Dec 26

No commentary this week as the charts are doing all the shouting. Heigh-Ho, Silver (and Platinum): The Great Fiat Exit of 2025 Are you actually watching this? Silver just capped an 18% weekly surge, only to be made look sluggish … Continue reading

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QOTD: Beijing’s Realpolitik

QOTD = Quote of the Day Chinese officials have learned that the Trump administration, for all its bluster, will not follow through on its promises or its threats. – Foreign Affairs 

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Dec 12

Global markets closed the week with a clear message: policy easing is supporting risk appetite, but leadership is rotating, and stresses are emerging beneath the surface. The Federal Reserve’s December rate cut reinforced expectations that the tightening cycle is firmly … Continue reading

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Tilly Norwood & AI Take On Hollywood

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From Portugal to Turkey: A Look at the Diverging Economic Fortunes of 2025

A great piece from The Economist ranking the performance of global economies.  Here is a concise summary.  Despite fears of a trade-war-induced recession, the global economy proved resilient in 2025. With global GDP growth steady at 3% and unemployment remaining … Continue reading

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December 7, 1941

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Dec 5

Global risk sentiment stayed constructive this week despite a sharp back-up in global bond yields and lingering growth concerns. Higher long-end yields across 19 bond markets—led by a 27 bp rise in Canada—coincide with markets pricing an 80–90% chance of … Continue reading

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The No Hire-No Fire Economy

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