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Category Archives: Black Swan Watch
The “Massive” Cost of a Greek Euro Exit
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads
Tagged Euro Exit, Greece
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The Facebook IPO & Market Game Theory
Tough markets. The Dow and Russell are just one more bad trading day from giving up all their gains for the year. France, Brazil, and UK equities are now negative for 2012. Most Asian equity indices have broken their … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Global Stock Performance
Tagged Facebook, S&P500, Stock Market Crash
1 Comment
Dropping Like a BRIC: Bovespa Turns Negative For Year
After leading global equity markets for the first two months of the year, the Brazilian Bovespa has fallen like a BRIC since hitting its 68,970 high on March 14th. We noted the index broke its 200-day yesterday and with today’s … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, Commodities
Tagged Bovespa, Brazil, China, Commodities, CRB
5 Comments
Europe Enters Terminal Zone
Another tough day in Europe as Greece failed to form a government and called for new elections. We sense Europe has entered a terminal phase of the Euro as we now know it. No doubt there will numerous ECB interventions, … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, German Bund, Italian Yields, PIIGS
Tagged Europe, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greece, Ireland, Italy, PIIGS, Portugal, Spain
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“…A Breath Away From the Drachma and Disaster”
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Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Drachma, Euro, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greece
1 Comment
Tough Day in Euroland
Key Data Points: German Bund yield falls 6 bps to 1.457 percent; France 8.4 bps wider; Italy 24.7 bps wider; Spain 27.9 bps wider to 6.23 percent; Portugal 23.4 bps wider; Ireland 16.7 bps wider; Greece 289 wider; Large Eurozone … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Sovereign Risk
Tagged European Debt Crisis, Greece, Ireland, Italy, PIIGS, Portugal, Spain
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The Euro End Game: Simon Johnson Gets It
Run, don’t walk, to the Peter Boone/Simon Johnson Bloomberg piece, As European Austerity Ends, So Could the Euro. While most are clamoring for more money printing by the ECB to monetize bad sovereign debt which has no demand, the Global … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch
1 Comment
Eurozone set for slow recovery
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Tell Us It Ain’t So, JP MO!
This doesn’t come at good time for the markets. Bloomberg is reporting, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) said it lost about $2 billion tied to synthetic credit securities after positions taken by its chief investment office were riskier than expected. … Continue reading
Spain partly nationalises Bankia
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro
Tagged Bankia, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Spain
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Global Macro Monitor 